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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
934
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 934

graded

665 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

751–775 of 934

  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Rams to finish with 10 wins

    I am going over with the Rams for nine and a half

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Washington Commanders to finish with 11 wins

    So I like the Commanders over nine and a half... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins

    I think the Niners probably go eleven and six and win this division.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+150 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins

    I'm taking the Lions over ten and a half as my first pick.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    New York Jets to finish with 7 wins

    So I like the Jets to go like seven and ten. I feel good about over five and a halfs.

    New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 25-10 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins

    let's go Vikings over eight and a half

    Minnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 55+90 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins

    that is the nobody believes in US underdog Kansas City Chiefs to go over eleven and a half wins

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins

    So I had the Commanders and the Eagles both eleven and six.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 95+10 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins

    I'm taking Saints under five and a half before anyone else does

    New Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Washington Commanders to finish with 11 wins

    So I had the Commanders and the Eagles both eleven and six.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins

    It is the Indianapolis Colt. Let's go under.

    Indianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 95-30 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins

    The Ravens over eleven and a half doesn't take a lot of guts, but I do think they'll they'll get there.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 55-70 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • PendingNick WrightSeason Win Totals

    New Orleans Saints to finish with ? wins

    There's two teams in that division that could have the number one pick of the draft... The Saints, I do think will be that bad.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7 wins

    If you wanna, if you wanna step up here, make it eight and we go on different sides... Yeah, sure deal

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 10 wins

    I'm gonna go Cowboys over seven and a half... I think they're gonna win ten games. I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 85-90 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 9 wins

    the Denver Broncos are not winning ten games under nine and a half

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5-10 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins

    And that is the Las Vegas Raiders... I need seven wins for this. I think the Raiders over is a very very healthy bet.

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-30 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins

    the Jaguars over seven and a half... I think they can get to ten. So I will go over Jacksonville.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+80 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins

    that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over nine and a half

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins

    I'm gonna go Bengals under nine and a half

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 45-10 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins

    I'm gonna go with one that I think you could take the Niners under ten and a half.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+110 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 6 wins

    The Giants over five and a half takes the little guts, but I do believe in it.

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-10 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins

    I'll vote Commanders under nine and a half.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins

    going Bears under for the fourth straight year, even though I do think they will be better eight and a half

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+50 skillsaid Aug 28, 2025the article →
  • PendingNick WrightSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with ? wins

    I think the Patriots win nine or ten games, can make the playoffs, and I will go over on the New England Patriots.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 27, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.