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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.25% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
1251–1275 of 3,499
1,856 / 3,499
graded
1,643 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (ECR one thirty three)
I don't think that we should assume Tyler Alger can't have good fantasy value or at least really strong contingent value behind Jeremiah Love... I'm not ready to give up on Tyler Algier.
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR of thirty four)
He's my twenty eighth player overall compared to the ECR of thirty four, and he's my wife's sue thirteen.
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (ECR one to thirteen)
Josh Downs has been one of the easiest buyers of the off season ever since that move for Michael Pittman... Now you remove Michael Pittman from that offense opens up a lot more tigits.
Makai Lemon to outplay his draft cost (ECR of ninety three)
getting him all the way down like ECR of ninety three, I think I've got him eighty second overall
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (a locked and loaded top twenty four guy)
I'm drafting him, and I think he's gonna boom. I think he's gonna boom in this offense
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (he is wide receiver twenty three, so best ball drafters are putting more respect on his name)
By the way, Dj Moore, I'm closer to him being a boom... They need a step on Diggs in this offense, and they think the DJ Moore can be that this year, and I agree with them.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (his ADP is around top twenty twenty one two)
But at the chance that he does boom in a big way, like debro outlined, yeah, I would, I like to say I'm more in on Dj more than out.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (his ECR ... is the twenty eighth wide receiver)
I'm buying into the DJ Moore boom. But it seems like the ECR isn't
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (late round)
I think Rashan White is actually a more intriguing late round running back to take.
Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (ECRI a forty eight)
I love Jail Waddle this year... So Jamalen Wada for me going as a wide receiver towo. I think he's got wide receiver one upside.
Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (he's fifty on the button that ECR)
Ericson, you're way under consensus here at seventy... So for those reasons, I just think that he's being over valid.
Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (ECRs at twenty seven overall)
So you're at twenty one ECRs at twenty seven overall... then Rice could absolutely smash... it's a top five guy that you can get outside... the top twelve wide receivers.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (drafted as the RB twelve, RB thirteen)
Andrew you're at forty five... you could get left holding the bag a little bit with Kieron Williams versus what is his actual ceiling... well then I don't necessarily want to buy that. Where he's been drafted.
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ECR of eighty five)
ericson you're nowhere near it at one oh six... so those are for the reasons why I'm concerned about Brian Thomas Junior.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the consensus has Chase Brown at seventeen)
I'm the high man on Chase Brown... I think that he's going to see a bellcow type of usage in a Joe Burrow led offense... I think the Bengals have all the incentive in the world to run Chase Brown into the ground
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (the east Yar at one sixteen)
Ericson, you've got it at seventy three... He is basically free. You can get him as your RB three, RB four, and I think that he has RB one upside.
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (ECRs in between you guys at sixty five)
Ericsson's at sixty... So I think tune is so clear the upside play for this Jaguars offense, and I'm just not gonna let a player like Chris Rodriguez... I get feels of Chase Brown to base all two in year two
Rashee Rice to be 1st on the depth chart
So I still believe that he is the best receiver on the Chiefs, even if Worthy takes a step forward.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (consensus is seven overall)
ericson all the way at nineteen... So for those reasons, I'm just not gonna be drafting Christian McAffrey this year.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (ecs in between at one thirty)
Erics has got him at one fifty four... I think Mark Andrews is just cooked at this point, to be honest... I think Mark Andrews is out of juice.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ECR twenty seven overall)
There's no discount this year at ECR twenty seven overall... I do think there are better options on the board around that round two, round three turn, and they're certainly safer options on the board at that point.
Rachaad White to fall short of his draft cost (the east Yar at one sixteen)
Pat you've got him lower at one twenty seven... I just don't think Rashad White is a good enough runner to really become the lead guy... I just don't see much of a ceiling.
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (that mid first round pick)
Pat has them ranked number seven overall... So I think we just need to get like twelve or thirteen games, fourteen games out of him to have him be worth that mid first round pick... that's why I'm willing to draft Christian McCaffrey in the middle of the first round.
J.K. Dobbins to be 1st on the depth chart
So Dobbins is back... I think Dobbins gets a majority of the early down carries and the goal line carries.
Bhayshul Tuten to fall short of his draft cost (ECRs in between you guys at sixty five)
fits a year at seventy six... I'm nervous that Tuton winds up being more of a flex type guy than a guy you feel good about starting every week.