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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,061
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
207

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,061

graded

1,147 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

576–600 of 4,061

  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Braelin Moore to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Reliable center / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Braelin Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Kade Pieper to be picked “Late Round 1”

    Player type: Moveable Center / Early grade: Late Round 1 ... He has a good chance of becoming the 1st C drafted in R1 since former Hawkeye Tyler Linderbaum in 2022

    Kade Pieper

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Luke Montgomery to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Player type: Versatile guard/center / Early grade: Day 2

    Luke Montgomery

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Anthonie Knapp to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    Player type: Versatile guard / Early grade: Late Day 2

    Anthonie Knapp

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Evan Tengesdahl to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    Player type: Gap-scheme guard / Early grade: Late Day 2

    Evan TengesdahlCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Greg Johnson to be picked “Late Round 1”

    Player type: All-around guard / Early grade: Late Round 1

    Greg JohnsonMinnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    DJ Vonnahme to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    DJ Vonnahme ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    DJ Vonnahme

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Lawson Luckie to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Lawson Luckie ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    Lawson Luckie

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jamari Johnson to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Jamari Johnson ... Early grade: Early Day 2

    Jamari Johnson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Trey'Dez Green to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Trey'Dez Green ... Early grade: Day 2

    Trey'Dez Green

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Hasley to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Jeremiah Hasley ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    Jeremiah Hasley

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Terrance Carter Jr. to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Terrance Carter Jr. ... Player type: H-back Early grade: Day 2

    Terrance Carter Jr.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Theo Melin Ohrstrom to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Theo Melin Ohrstrom ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    Theo Melin Ohrstrom

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Odom to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Caleb Odom ... Early grade: Early Day 3

    Caleb Odom

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Luke Reynolds to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Luke Reynolds ... Early grade: Day 2

    Luke Reynolds

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Willie Rodriguez to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    Willie Rodriguez ... Early grade: Late Day 2

    Willie Rodriguez

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Julian Sayin to be picked at number 3

    3. Cleveland Browns: Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State

    Julian SayinCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Smith to be picked at number 5

    5. Las Vegas Raiders: Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State

    Jeremiah SmithLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Will Echoles to be picked at number 11

    11. New York Jets (via IND): Will Echoles, DT, Ole Miss

    Will EcholesNew York Jets

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Cam Coleman to be picked at number 10

    10. New York Giants: Cam Coleman, WR, Texas

    Cam ColemanNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    David Stone to be picked at number 30

    30. Baltimore Ravens: David Stone, DT, Oklahoma

    David StoneBaltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Nick Nash to be picked at number 26

    26. Kansas City Chiefs: Nick Marsh, WR, Indiana

    Nick NashKansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Leonard Moore to be picked at number 8

    8. Carolina Panthers: Leonard Moore, CB, Notre Dame

    Leonard MooreCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Tae Johnson to be picked at number 16

    16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Tae Johnson, S, Notre Dame

    Tae JohnsonJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJustin MeloMock Draft Picks

    Charlie Becker to be picked at number 23

    23. Dallas Cowboys (via GB): Charlie Becker, WR, Indiana

    Charlie BeckerDallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 10, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.