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MissedTakes
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Award Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
683
Graded
354

52% settled

Average accuracy
21.2

out of 100

Pundits
147

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
75 scored 80+279 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

354 / 683

graded

329 still pending

Who is good at award picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every award picks take

126–150 of 683

By sport

NFL — award picks (355 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.