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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.28% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
2676–2700 of 3,536
1,854 / 3,536
graded
1,682 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (the seventh player overall)
I'm a pass at seven. Yeah, I was into fourteen. I was curious at twelve, at ten maybe, but at seven, I don't know. I'm out there.
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)
So I'm comfortable drafting him as the ADP continues to rise all the way up until twenty, maybe even up until fifteen... I think he's this year's Brian Thomas junior
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
but it is close to twenty so I would lean over on that
Green Bay Packers to finish with 9 wins
I just think they're gonna win nine games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs
New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins
I am going to go under on the Panthers and over on the Saints
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
Kansas City over eleven and a half at plus one hundred
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty
New York Giants to make the playoffs
Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs
Kyler Murray to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
it feels like Kyler Murray starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers Week one of next year. Feel feels about like the plan
I think they might have the best front four in football.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Texans
I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets and obviously Texans are a good team. I think Tampa's better
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Jets
I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
This also is not a bet demands because I think eleven winds is where it lands... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
one of my bets will be Falcons over seven and a half at minus one forty
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
I will go over with the New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins.
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
Lions over under is at ten and a half... I have to go with the plus money side, So I will say over
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 10 wins
I am going over with the Rams for nine and a half
Washington Commanders to finish with 11 wins
So I like the Commanders over nine and a half... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs. I've got them too.
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
I mean I believe in Russ a little bit more than you do. You can get six wins. They pull together six
Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins
So I will take and I will bet the Bears over eight and a half
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus three forty
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
I do think they go back to the playoffs.
Atlanta Falcons to beat expectations
I actually think this team is a sneaky playoff contender because of the schedule