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57 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.23% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
76–100 of 3,470
1,814 / 3,470
graded
1,656 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
AFC West, I made a change. Denver second, Kansas City third... I think it's a pretty magical year for the Chargers.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
Seahawks, Bears are great wildcard teams.
DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart
I love the DJ Moore, a real serious number one receiver.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
Listen, the Ravens and the Bengals are both going to make the playoffs.
Detroit Lions to win the division
All right, NFC North, best division in football. I'm going to take Detroit.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Courtland Sutton to be 2nd on the depth chart
Cortland Sutton will be one of the best number two receivers in the league.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South... I love the Texans... So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers
I know the Texans defense will be the best in the league.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
Seahawks, Bears are great wildcard teams.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I'm going Bills, Patriots, Jets, Dolphins.
Here's my herd hierarchy. We'll start at number 10 on the eve of the NFL season... Number one... the Seahawks... Where are the Chiefs? I have them in 11th. Where are the Ravens? I have them at 12.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.
New York Giants to make the playoffs
The Giants are a good wildcard team... Giants are a new playoff team, obviously.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Jadarian Price to record 1,000 rushing yards
So I like Price. I can see 1,000 yards.
Denver Broncos to win the division
The AFC West, I'm just going to ride Denver.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
But I just, I got to pick the Chiefs to make the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I don't like the Saints. I love the Saints... So Dallas, Detroit, New Orleans
Detroit Lions to win the division
The NFC North, who I'd probably pick to be the one seed... I'm a believer in Detroit... So Dallas, Detroit, New Orleans, and I'm just sticking with what I know. And Seattle
New Orleans Saints to finish with 10 wins
I think the Saints, you're looking at 10-plus wins.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
But I'm taking the Steelers with that last wildcard spot.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South, this is actually probably the easiest pick. I think the Houston Texans