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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.27% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
1551–1575 of 3,507
1,854 / 3,507
graded
1,653 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 14 wins
And like I always, no, you always. What I was gonna say, like Baltimore, like fourteen wins basically.
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
But I believe in the Jags... I think they're a double digit win team... And so that's too low.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
but they win eleven games every year with Josh Allen, so I I to me, this is a touch too low
Tennessee Titans to finish with 6–7 wins
Feels just right that you know that they're a six or seven win team.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
And I love Buffalo at minus one forty five to win the division... my four division, I have three favorites Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, and the Jags
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
They're still the best team in that division... my four division, I have three favorites Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, and the Jags
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
I think this is a touch low... They won fourteen last year, so they could go down by four wins and hit the over. So I think they're an over.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
Baltimore minus one forty for the division. I just like it... my four division, I have three favorites Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, and the Jags
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
I think the best team in that division... I like Jacksonville a lot at plus one seventy five
New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins
I think I think they're a nine win team, so you could say that means it's just right.
New England Patriots to finish with 9.5 wins
I really wanted to be on the under. Now I'm leaving more to the over because it's just man, that division is going to be so bad.
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins
I don't hate the if you're taking the over because it's plus one ten at a hard rock eight and a half... So yeah, I like that overplay.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins
And just like the Bills. This is one of my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason taken they're over.
CeeDee Lamb to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
And you know CD just like last year... overall he's what a top five receiver
Tennessee Titans to finish with 6.5 wins
so I would take the over. I agree with the pros early bet on that one
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9.5 wins
if I believe in the coach, if I believe in the quarterback, it's hard for me to take their unders, especially in such a bad division
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
this is one of my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason taken they're over... I think they're another team to get to eleven twelve wins
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
Tua has gone to Atlanta. He will be the starter.
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 7.5 wins
Atlanta seven and a half, I'm gonna go with the I'm going with the over.
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8.5 wins
So I'll take the over eight and a half on the Cowboys.
Houston Texans to finish with 9.5 wins
Houston nine and a half over No... I believe more in the Texans defense than in the Jags defense
Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins
so far we have talked about like in Buffalo over ten and a half
Washington Commanders to finish with 7.5 wins
Washington seven and a half, I'd go with the over there... Daniels is back for a full season, and their defense can only get better
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
Denver nine and a half, I'll take the over... I think that Sean Payton is good enough coach that a ten and seventeen with this talent is not at all inconceivable to me.
Carolina Panthers to finish with 6.5 wins
I also took Carolina over six and a half. I believe you called that quote a trap unquote