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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,074
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,074

graded

1,160 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1676–1700 of 4,074

  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked “Day two”

    wide receiver position... some day, two guys... Ted Hurst, Chris Bell

    Chris Bell

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Treydan Stukes to be picked “Day two”

    I've got Trading Stokes... out of Arizona... Those are three safeties for me that I think are going to be excellent. Day two picks.

    Treydan StukesArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Bryce Boettcher to be picked “day two”

    And I might even throw Bryce Betcher from Oregon in there as a as a bonus.

    Bryce Boettcher

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jalon Kilgore to be picked “Day two”

    A couple of other names I'll just throw out there. I think go on Day two. Kilgore from South Carolin and the Nickel

    Jalon Kilgore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Domonique Orange to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    And then I'm gonna give you Dominique Orange out of Iowa State... this is probably gonna be the third round.

    Domonique Orange

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Domonique Orange to be picked “Taken day two... third round” (picks 65–100)

    Solid player, and I think he's an integral part of a defense. Taking day two, we talk about making the third round

    Domonique Orange

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Noah Whittington to be picked “probably fourth round, even he could even go a little later” (picks 101–140)

    It's going to be probably fourth round, even he could even go a little later. Just a player. I like watching with Noah Whittington from Oregon

    Noah Whittington

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Chris McClellan to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    Defensive tackles, Day two... this is probably gonna be the third round. I like this this combination of these three guys like Chris McClellan from Missouri

    Chris McClellan

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 13Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Joshua Josephs to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    Joshua Josephs from Tennessee who's got a little burst in little twitch... I think he probably goes in the third round.

    Joshua JosephsTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 1Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Max Llewellyn to be picked “probably third round, he could get to the fourth” (picks 65–140)

    I think probably third round, he could get to the fourth. But Max Llewellyn from Iowa

    Max Llewellyn

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Malik Muhammad to be picked “Day two”

    He's probably in that range of Malik Muhammad's Day two guy.

    Malik Muhammad

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Emmett Johnson to be picked “day two”

    let's go running backs... Emma Johnson we've talked about from Nebraska, Mike Washington junior out of Arkansas

    Emmett Johnson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Gracen Halton to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    Grayson Halton, who's super twitchy, ran four eight to a two hundred and ninety three pounds out of Oklahoma

    Gracen Halton

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jake Golday to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    I'm going to go more second round guys in this group here, Jake Golda from Cincinnati, Kyle Lewis from pitt

    Jake GoldayCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 12Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Justin Jefferson to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    I like Jefferson from Alabama as a third round guy

    Justin Jefferson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Daylen Everette to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    Dalen Everett from Georgia probably goes in the third round.

    Daylen Everette

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 8Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Keith Abney to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    I think Keith Abney probably goes in the third round.

    Keith Abney

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 11Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Keionte Scott to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    Kiante Scott from Miami... probably those gonna be second round picks.

    Keionte ScottMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    D'Angelo Ponds to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    Dangelo Ponds from Indiana. I think all of three of those guys are gonna come off the board. On Day two... probably those gonna be second round picks.

    D'Angelo Ponds

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 4Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Kyle Louis to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    I'm going to go more second round guys in this group here, Jake Golda from Cincinnati, Kyle Lewis from pitt

    Kyle Louis

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Chris Johnson to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    Chris Johnson from San Diego State... I think all of three of those guys are gonna come off the board. On Day two rather, I think probably early and probably those gonna be second round picks.

    Chris Johnson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 24Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Tiernan to be picked “good Land in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    I will give you the kid from Northwestern Caleb Tiernan, someone who could like good Land in the second good Land in the second round.

    Caleb Tiernan

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Bud Clark to be picked “Day two”

    Aj Halsey from LSU and Bud Clark from TCU. Those are three safeties for me that I think are going to be excellent. Day two picks.

    Bud Clark

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Fields to be picked “Day two”

    I'm gonna throw out. Malachi Fields is another one.

    Malachi Fields

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingBucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Max Klare to be picked “somewhere in those top fifty picks”

    I think somewhere in those top fifty picks that's where he goes. And he's a very successful starting time end.

    Max Klare

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 3, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.