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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.23% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
551–575 of 3,470
1,856 / 3,470
graded
1,614 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
I think DeJuan Stribling is young enough that he can fight the substation... one wide receiver I am not drafting and one that I like.
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
But Aaron Jones is the low-hanging fruit. I just don't think he can hold up with the hamstrings and the volume anymore.
Bijan Robinson to fall short of his draft cost (the second pick over all)
I have not drafted in a single league, Robinson. I just, I don't want Atlanta's running back... And he is the second pick over all.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
I mean, I could easily shout out Mark Andrews. I think that he's cooked at this point in his career.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I'm out on Lemon at cost... he is going to force Makai Lemon into a very Luther Burden-esque rookie season where he has trouble getting on the field
Ray Rice to outplay his draft cost (round six)
I'm just really high right now on just what this guy's potential could be, and I kind of gave it away, and that's Price. If you can get him still here in your home league, I think he's an outstanding option as your number two running back.
Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (the 10th round)
It's just Jacobs for me. He's undraftable. It doesn't even matter if it's the 10th round in my opinion.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
All in on DJ Moore... Now he's kind of moved up, Chad, to the fourth, fifth round.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
People have been drafting the Eagles receiver Lemon in this round, Chad... So I am out on lemon. I'd much rather have Wicks at cost.
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
I think Kincaid's a nice pick here... Kincaid this late to be your tight end one. The upside is there.
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost (round six)
The guy I'm avoiding like a plague, Mike Evans... So Mike Evans, I just, there's other guys that are rather taking this range than him.
Dallas Goedert to outplay his draft cost (round 10)
people are sleeping on Dallas Goddard... it's just where I think the value is in this draft is Kincaid and then Goddard the round after.
Bo Nix to win MVP
I think that Bo Nix is going to We're going to see the best year of his career. Bet the long shot odds for him at MVP
Nick Nash to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)
Guy I'm avoiding, I can't take pickings in the second round... Pickens ain't returning a second round value to you.
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (Eighth, ninth round)
People are loving this kid for the 49ers, which I am all in on him as well.
Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
I believe in the upside being Green Bay's true wide receiver one this year
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)
And for all the reasons by Kyler Murray, I'm out on Justin Jefferson in the first round.
Chris Godwin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
And a guy I love upside, Chris Godwin. No one's talking about him... So in this range, I love that value.
Tae Johnson to be 2nd on the depth chart
there's this kid, Johnson, who's their number two running back... He's the number two running back. Guaranteed.
Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins
And they just ride David Montgomery in the defense to 10 plus wins.
Michael Pittman to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
for me, I'm passing on Pittman. He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
David Montgomery to record 10 rushing tds
if he's healthy this full year, I mean, the way their defense gets turnovers, Montgomery being fed in the red zone, minimum 10 touchdowns, honestly.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to outplay his draft cost (the first round)
I am all in on JSN. I just think it's a safe pick
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)
Quinn Sean Judkins as a top 24 running back on a horrible Cleveland Browns offense. Uh, no, thank you.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)
I think DJ Moore is going to crush him Buffalo... the guy that I will garner again... DJ Moore, the Stefan new Stefan digs for the Buffalo bills.