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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.23% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
576–600 of 3,470
1,856 / 3,470
graded
1,614 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver 12 price tag)
All in on Chris Alave, wide receiver 12 price tag... So we are undervaluing Chris Alave and his upside.
DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart
I think him going there and them having a true wide receiver one this year is going to be fantastic for this offense.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
I could shout out Chuba Hubbard. No, thank you.
Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins
And they just ride David Montgomery in the defense to 10 plus wins.
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
But Aaron Jones is the low-hanging fruit. I just don't think he can hold up with the hamstrings and the volume anymore.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
A guy I'm down on, it's got to be Skadabo... But taking him to the fourth, fifth round, that feels a little too rich for Skadaboo.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)
fade rice. I'm locked up with Derek here.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 100 receptions
So just give me a guy that's going to give her 100 receptions.
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (a seventh, eighth-round pick)
Gian Hurts right now, Chad, is like a seventh, eighth-round pick... He's another guy that's a good value.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
I'm avoiding Merritt. I just think the Washington backfield, to me, White makes more sense... I think Merritt's a bad pick here.
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
Chris Godwin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
And a guy I love upside, Chris Godwin. No one's talking about him... So in this range, I love that value.
Tae Johnson to outplay his draft cost (End of year draft)
Johnson's a sneaky play. End of year draft. Just grab this kid.
DK Metcalf to be 1st on the depth chart
there's a lot of other guys to feed where DK, he's going to be the number one.
A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
if he stays healthy, if that knee holds up, I just can't see a world where AJ doesn't finish top five, top six and wide receiver fantasy points.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
I think he's going to take the job away from Chuba Hubbard.
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (rounds four and five)
Give me my guy, Luther Burden. This is exactly where you want to take him. You're not paying a premium anymore because of the injury.
Chris Godwin Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
And that offense, with that offensive line, I think he could be the number one receiver.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round)
He's, he's finally moved up to the fourth round... I think he has top, top three round value Swift on the bears.
Bo Nix to outplay his draft cost (one of the last quarterbacks to go)
Bo Nix, to me, is the best value... So great value on Bo Nix this year.
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)
A guy I'm avoiding just because of what this price is, Tate. Who is taking Tate for Tennessee?... There's no world I see an upside of Tate being worth his draft value here.
DK Metcalf to outplay his draft cost (round seven)
For me, a player I love, I know it's not sexy... it's DK Metcalf. It's another year with him and Rodgers
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)
Quinn Sean Judkins as a top 24 running back on a horrible Cleveland Browns offense. Uh, no, thank you.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)
I think DJ Moore is going to crush him Buffalo... the guy that I will garner again... DJ Moore, the Stefan new Stefan digs for the Buffalo bills.
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)
And Brian Thomas Jr., we walked the schedule earlier. Hell no. I am not attracting him anywhere.