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57 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.23% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
201–225 of 3,470
1,814 / 3,470
graded
1,656 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Arizona Cardinals to pick at number 1
And Arizona is in an absolute rebuild, potentially drafting number one next year.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
And in the NFC West, I flipped it. I went Seattle second, Rams first.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
I do see them as a wildcard team.
AFC West, I made a change. Denver second, Kansas City third... The Raiders will be a very fun fourth place team.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
Seahawks, Bears are great wildcard teams.
I know the Texans defense will be the best in the league.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South, this is a tough one... I love the Texans.
NFC South, Saints, Panthers, Bucs, Falcons.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
AFC West, I made a change. Denver second, Kansas City third... I think it's a pretty magical year for the Chargers.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
but I'll still take their playoff momentum, their third Vikings fourth.
Detroit Lions to win the division
All right, NFC North, best division in football. I'm going to take Detroit.
New York Giants to make the playoffs
The Giants are a good wildcard team.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I'm going Bills, Patriots, Jets, Dolphins.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I'll take the Saints to win it.
There's my AFC East, Buffalo, New England, Jets, Dolphins.
Feel pretty strongly about Cleveland last and Pittsburgh third here.
New England Patriots to finish with ? wins
I'm not picking them to make the playoffs, not because I don't think they're going to be a good team. I expect them to be in that 9-10 win range with a bunch of other teams.
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
Now they have multiple number two wide receivers with him and Pittman.
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
I heard you and Colin pick in Seattle to make Super Bowl.
So I would rank those McCarthy, Vrabel, and then Minter's just an unknown with a major unknown at play caller.
DK Metcalf to be 2nd on the depth chart
They had DK Metcalf, who, let's face it, a number two. So they had a sweet number two wide receiver. Now they have multiple number two wide receivers with him and Pittman.
Seattle Seahawks to beat New England
And I think tonight's a good example of I expect Seattle to win... to me, this is a 10-point game by Seattle.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
Just heard the pod this morning, and you had the Steelers to make the playoffs over the Ravens and the Pats... Again, I just picked one out of three.
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
I think Philly is worth it at 12% and the Seahawks are worth it at 16%. And so you're getting, you know, around five and a half to one on Seattle.