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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,036
Graded
351

34% settled

Average accuracy
27.4

out of 100

Pundits
132

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+255 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

351 / 1,036

graded

685 still pending

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

1001–1025 of 1,036

  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    With a 10-1 record, the Lions are well on their way to winning the NFC North and the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenDivision Winners

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The only thing that we're sure of with the Texans right now is that when they win the division, they will be the first playoff game on the Saturday

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 25, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Houston Texans to win the division

    The Texans already have a massive lead in the AFC South, and they could have the division wrapped up by Thanksgiving.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 15, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    Through five games, the Commanders have to be considered the clear-cut favorites in the NFC East.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Oct 8, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    This still feels like Tampa Bay's division until further notice, especially if Mayfield continues to play at this level.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 1, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    If Buffalo's defense continues to improve, there is no reason why they shouldn't win the AFC East again this year.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division

    And with the rest of the AFC North falling apart, this might just be their year.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Hit · 100Marcus MosherDivision Winners

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    The Buccaneers have won the NFC South in three straight seasons, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they did it again this year.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 10, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    AFC North Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6 ... 4. Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    NFC North Detroit Lions: 10-7 ... 4. Lions

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    NFC West San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 ... 1. 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    New York Jets to win the division

    AFC East New York Jets: 12-5 ... AFC Playoff Seeding: ... 3. Jets

    New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    AFC South Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5 ... 1. Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    NFC East Dallas Cowboys: 12-5 ... 2. Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    NFC South New Orleans Saints: 11-6 ... 3. Saints

    New Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsDivision Winners

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    AFC West Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5 ... 2. Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 0Sports Info SolutionsDivision Winners

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    Ravens Edge Bengals in AFC North ... I'm betting that some regression for both teams will give Baltimore a slight edge over its rivals this season.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 9, 2022
  • Miss · 0Sports Info SolutionsDivision Winners

    Arizona Cardinals to win the division

    Arizona Wins NFC West ... This could be enough to push the Cards over the top after falling just one game short of the division title last year.

    Arizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 9, 2022
  • Miss · 0The Draft NetworkDivision Winners

    Cleveland Browns to win the division

    It's been nearly 20 years since the Browns have won the division, but all streaks eventually come to an end. Prediction: Division Winner

    Cleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 6, 2021
  • Miss · 0Grant ReiterDivision Winners

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    1. The Jacksonville Jaguars go from worst-to-first ... the Jaguars are poised to have a real chance at winning a weak AFC South.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 18, 2021the article →
  • Hit · 100Dan PizzutaDivision Winners

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs, Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Chargers, Denver Broncos

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 10, 2020the article →
  • Miss · 0Dan PizzutaDivision Winners

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    NFC North: Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 10, 2020the article →
  • Miss · 0Dan PizzutaDivision Winners

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    AFC North: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns*, Pittsburgh Steelers*, Cincinnati Bengals

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 10, 2020the article →
  • Miss · 0Dan PizzutaDivision Winners

    New England Patriots to win the division

    AFC East: New England Patriots, Buffalo Bills*, Miami Dolphins, New York Jets

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 10, 2020the article →
  • Hit · 100Dan PizzutaDivision Winners

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    NFC West: Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams*, San Francisco 49ers*, Arizona Cardinals

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Sep 10, 2020the article →

By sport

NFL — division winners (366 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.