Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,137
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,137

graded

1,223 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2536 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2501–2525 of 4,137

  • Hit · 81Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “somewhere in the top twenty five picks” (picks 1–20)

    everyone's looking for one of these types of players AND i think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks

    Dillon Thieneman

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    so now that he might be like a third round, PICK i like him as much as anyone else in this class other Than Mendoza

    Garrett Nussmeier

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Taylen Green to be picked at number 176

    with the one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth, round The Denver broncos Select Taylan Green, arkansas

    Taylen Green

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Why mendoza doesn't work out because he's, nos he's a lock for number one and he has nothing to gain from working out

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Colton Hood to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    HOOD I think it is able to show up and solidify himself as as a first round pick with a with a workout like this

    Colton HoodTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Demario Davis to be picked at number 176

    So definitely a guy that I think is a value here at a 176. I say do it.

    Demario DavisKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Let's just go ahead and take stunning styles at this point... we have got sunny styles, which is not the decision we were expecting to take in the first round

    Sonny StylesKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    To me, I almost think you have to go with Sonny Styles. / That's that's where I'm at... you plug him in next to Nick Bolton, you have a new duo.

    Sonny StylesKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 14Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Bud Clark to be picked at number 109

    here we sit at one zero nine... Probably Clark. I know I took him last week, in one of these, but, man, I just like what he does

    Bud ClarkKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Michael Trigg to be picked at number 74

    Okay. We will take Trigg.

    Michael TriggKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zion Young to be picked at number 40

    At pick number 40... So I would say take the Mizzou Tiger, plug him in, and let him hunt that quarterback.

    Zion YoungKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zion Young to be picked at number 40

    we will go ahead and add Zion Young to this roster

    Zion YoungKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 14Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Bud Clark to be picked at number 109

    Let's say Clark. At that point, we have another safety to add that will replace Brian Cook on the back end of this defense.

    Bud ClarkKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Michael Trigg to be picked at number 74

    Maybe I would just go trig given that he's so close there, and and give us a tight end

    Michael TriggKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Bryce Lance to be picked at number 146

    You wanna go Bryce Lance and see what we get going forward? Yeah. Why not? K. There's your wide receiver.

    Bryce LanceKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris ClarkMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Demario Davis to be picked at number 176

    There you go. Davis is who we are taking, and that will complete the Chiefs draft at this point.

    Demario DavisKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Anita MarksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    I do believe he'll go number one overall, And I do believe he'll go to the Raiders, but it's because the Raiders are desperate for a quarterback

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 39Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mike Washington to be picked “day two, second or third round” (picks 33–100)

    Are we to talk about Mike Washington coming off the board on day two, second or third round. Somewhere in that conversation, his name has to come up.

    Mike Washington

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    To me, Man, we're talking about a top five pick... you could talk yourself in and take him and within one the first four five picks.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Omar Cooper I think helped himself the four to four. He's the first rounder now... He's the safest maybe of all those wide receivers, which will help him get drafted in the first round.

    Omar Cooper

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    You do have Fernando Mendoza as the number one pick for the Las Vegas Rangers.

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Andy FurmanMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    I'm thinking like Fernando Mendoza, he's probably gonna be the number one pick the quarterback out of Indiana.

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7

    You have the number seven pick going to the Washington Commanders and Ruben Bain junior ... University of Miami ... edge rusher

    Rueben BainWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingBucky BrooksMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Diego Pavia to be picked “I don't think he's gonna get drafted”

    Will he get drafted? I don't think so. I don't. I don't. I don't think he's gonna get drafted. No

    Diego Pavia

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon DeutschMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Mike Washington to be picked “mid round two”

    I would say probably mid round two is where the RB two will go

    Mike Washington

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 1, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.