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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,137
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,137

graded

1,223 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2536 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

3001–3025 of 4,137

  • Close · 62Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    I am fine going with key Mesidore. I think he's a very good player... A key Mesidore, 67 pressures, 13 sacks.

    Akheem MesidorNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 16Darrion GrayMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keionte Scott to be picked at number 73

    I'll go with Keontae Scott. I think that's a a solid pick at a valuable position

    Keionte ScottNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Zxavian Harris to be picked at number 148

    now we're here round five, pick one forty eight... I lean Xavier and Harris here

    Zxavian HarrisNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Darrion GrayMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    I think we'd go Mesidore. Let's do it.

    Akheem MesidorNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Darrion GrayMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Aaron Anderson to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    Aaron Anderson is around. Pick them. Pick them. I I I like it. Let's do it.

    Aaron AndersonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 13Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Bryce Boettcher to be picked “Sixth round pick” (picks 182–216)

    I'd say we round it out with one more senior bowl guy. Sixth round pick, Bryce Boacher.

    Bryce BoettcherNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Aaron Anderson to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    And if you don't if you're somebody that's like, hey. He's an LSU player, there's no way that the Saints pick him... that's kind of what we did here with Ted Hurst and Aaron Anderson.

    Aaron AndersonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 13Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Bryce Boettcher to be picked “Sixth round pick” (picks 182–216)

    I I'm all about Bryce Boettcher. That dude plays mean and has really, really good athleticism.

    Bryce BoettcherNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    I feel really good about Akeem Sador, if I'm being honest... I I feel pretty good with the key messador there.

    Akheem MesidorNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Aaron Anderson to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    so we are here round, round five... Aaron Anderson is around. Pick them.

    Aaron AndersonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Close · 48Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ted Hurst to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    the Saints pick a couple of picks later also in the fourth round... We went Ted Hurst.

    Ted HurstNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Zxavian Harris to be picked at number 148

    I I also like Xavien Harris, at this place... (round five, pick one forty eight)

    Zxavian HarrisNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keonte Scott to be picked at number 73

    we're here at at round three, pick 73... I'm partial to Keontay Scott because I wanted him last round.

    Keonte ScottNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingDylan SandersMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keylan Rutledge to be picked “round four”

    Keelan Rutledge is here at in round four... if you get Keelan Rutledge, you don't pass it up.

    Keylan RutledgeNew Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 30, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    They'll get Fernando Mendoza with a number one pick.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 29, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan Scott HallMock Draft Picks2025 season

    B.J. to be picked “going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals”

    Falk is gonna go blow up the combine, and he's gonna end up, like, going two to the jets or three to the Cardinals because he's gonna have all these measurables.

    B.J.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 28, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Kent SwansonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jonah Coleman to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    There's Jonah Coleman from Washington who's very good... I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.

    Jonah ColemanWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 28, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 24Kent SwansonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jadarian Price to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    Jadarian Price out of Notre Dame... I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.

    Jadarian Price

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 28, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan Scott HallMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    I think everybody's gonna say the draft starts at two. You know, Mendoza to the Raiders feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingKent SwansonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “isn't gonna be on the board at nine”

    I think that means that Jeremiah Love isn't gonna be on the board at nine when they pick. I I think I don't think he's gonna be there if I'm being honest with you.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 28, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7Kent SwansonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Emmett Johnson to be picked “worth a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    Emmett Johnson, the the Nebraska running back. I think all those guys are probably worth a third round pick somewhere.

    Emmett Johnson

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 28, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Denzel Boston to be picked “later in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    Denzel Boston is one of them from University of Washington, big physical, explosive, going to be there at that point later on in the draft, so later in the first round.

    Denzel Boston

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 27, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    The Rams fans did not like not giving them a corner there at thirteen, but I had him taking Makay Leonard from USC

    Makai Lemon

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 27, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 29

    with their next pick, I had him taking a tackle and Blake Miller out of Clemson

    Blake Miller

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Jan 27, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 4

    two offensive linemen going back to back with Arizona and Tennessee. Spencer Fano from Utah and then Francis malioa... massive tackle there at Miami

    Francis MauigoaTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+29 skillsaid Jan 27, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.