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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

676–700 of 4,064

  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Darius Alexander to be picked “Late Date 2”

    Bear Alexander ... Early grade: Late Date 2

    Darius Alexander

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 6, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jordan Seaton to be picked at number 10

    In his early 2027 mock draft , Renner paired LSU offensive tackle Jordan Seaton, a Colorado transfer, with the Giants at pick No. 10.

    Jordan SeatonNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 5, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Fred Johnson to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Do-it-all middle linebacker / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Fred Johnson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Tony Rojas to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Early grade: Day 2 ... if he's even the same guy he was last year you can put him down safely as a Day 2 pick.

    Tony Rojas

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Sammy Brown to be picked “Round 1”

    Early grade: Round 1 — Brown has all the makings of a first-round linebacker

    Sammy Brown

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Cade Uluave to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Heat-seeking missile / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Cade Uluave

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Player type: Hybrid rusher / Early grade: Early Day 2

    Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jordan Hall to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Two-down linebacker / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Jordan Hall

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Suntarine Perkins to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Player type: To be determined / Early grade: Day 2

    Suntarine Perkins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    West Weeks to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Versatile linebacker / Early grade: Early Day 3

    West Weeks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jalen Graham to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Weakside linebacker / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Jalen Graham

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Xavier Atkins to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Player type: Weakside linebacker / Early grade: Early Day 2

    Xavier Atkins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 4, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Benjamin SolakMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Rattler to be picked “clear top spot in the draft class overall; top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    But when Rattler ascends to the clear top spot in this draft class overall—something I expect will happen

    Spencer Rattler

    a naive guess scored 50said Aug 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingBenjamin SolakMock Draft Picks

    Kayvon Thibodeaux to be picked “not the first defensive lineman drafted”

    Kayvon Thibodeaux Isn't First Defensive Lineman Drafted

    Kayvon Thibodeaux

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100George KritikosMock Draft Picks

    Trevor Lawrence to be picked at number 1

    Incoming rookie Trevor Lawrence will be the top overall pick, to the Jaguars

    Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 50said Aug 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jelani McDonald to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Player type: Do-it-all-safety / Early grade: Early Day 2

    Jelani McDonald

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Zach Lutmer to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    Player type: Slot / Early grade: Late Day 2

    Zach Lutmer

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Faletau Satuala to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Future LB / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Faletau Satuala

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Peyton Bowen to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Versatile safety / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Peyton Bowen

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Brauntae Johnson to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Player type: Versatile chess piece / Early grade: Early Day 2

    Brauntae Johnson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan RobertsMock Draft Picks

    Jelani McDonald to be picked at number 50

    I’d wager a pretty penny that Texas S Jelani McDonald (#4) ends up being a top-50 selection in the 2027 NFL Draft.

    Jelani McDonald

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Bray Hubbard to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    Player type: Box enforcer / Early grade: Late Day 2

    Bray Hubbard

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    KJ Bolden to be picked “Early Day 2” (picks 33–67)

    Player type: Rangy deep safety / Early grade: Early Day 2

    KJ Bolden

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Ty Benefield to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)

    Player type: Box enforcer / Early grade: Day 2

    Ty Benefield

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jaylen McClain to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)

    Player type: Rangy deep safety / Early grade: Early Day 3

    Jaylen McClain

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.