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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

701–725 of 4,064

  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Zach Lutmer to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)

    Player type: Slot / Early grade: Late Day 2

    Zach Lutmer

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nathan JahnkeMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    all indications point to the team having selected quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Jul 31, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Smith to be picked at number 1

    potentially even the first player off the board next spring

    Jeremiah Smith

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingAndrew SicilianoMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “likely ticketed for the twenty twenty seven draft”

    Brendan Soresby is now likely ticketed for the twenty twenty seven draft.

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingKirk MorrisonMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “potential late first round, clear second round type of quarterback” (picks 1–32)

    for a lot of people who didn't know that Brendan Soresby, who I covered a couple of games last year, I thought he is a potential late first round, clear second round type of quarterback.

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 22, 2026
  • PendingAlex ClancyMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    if there are multiple teams that are going after, we very well could go after go be a first round pick

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingBen GarciaMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    if this kid does hit, who I think could potentially be a first round pick next year

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 19, 2026
  • PendingMatt VerderameMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “third to fourth round pick” (picks 97–140)

    I would expect that he'll be drafted. And I think he's probably a third to fourth round pick, somewhere in there.

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingTucker FranklinMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “day three ask pick”

    I would be shocked if anybody uses a day one or two pick on him, truthfully. So you're probably looking at day three ask pick on him.

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Arch Manning to be picked at number 1

    I think arch Manning is gonna be next year's number one overall pick.

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingRob BushkaMock Draft Picks

    Dante Moore to be picked “a high draft pick”

    You're gonna go ahead and and blow a high draft pick on Dante Moore next year.

    Dante Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdMock Draft Picks

    Arch Manning to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)

    even if he has a terrible season, the hype around him in the combine, in the Pro Day, he still will end up a top ten

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdMock Draft Picks

    Nick Nash to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    he's got Nick marsh and Charlie Becker, who hello, are going to be first round wide receivers... In this twenty twenty seven class

    Nick Nash

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdMock Draft Picks

    C.J. Carr to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)

    he's a quiet reserve guy that could sneak up on draft boards and could be a guy we talked about it to be a top ten

    C.J. Carr

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdMock Draft Picks

    Charlie Becker to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    he's got Nick marsh and Charlie Becker, who hello, are going to be first round wide receivers... In this twenty twenty seven class

    Charlie Becker

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 11, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 3Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks

    Brandon Doughty to be picked “a third or fourth round, pick” (picks 64–139)

    I think he might be like a third or fourth round, pick

    Brandon Doughty

    a naive guess scored 50said May 4, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Rob BushkaMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Smith to be picked at number 1

    you got Jeremiah Smith who must he might be number one overall. Next year, a receiver going number one. Unheard of.

    Jeremiah Smith

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 28, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    Matt Moore to be picked at number 1

    everyone's Saying Arch banning is the number one overall. Pick i'm rooting for. HIM ... but based on what we saw last. Year number one overall Pick Dante. Moore

    Matt Moore

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 27, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked “round two”

    my bold prediction is Cale Proctor, the Southeast Louisiana defensive tackle, hundred twenty third on the consensus board. He comes off the board in round two.

    Kaleb Proctor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 33

    Pick 33 to the niners. I think R Mason Thomas is a first round caliber player.

    R Mason ThomasSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 4Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks

    Kyle Louis to be picked “the next pick the Texans have in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    The next pick, that the Texans have in the second round... I finally settled in on Kyle Lewis, the, linebacker from Pitt.

    Kyle LouisHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks

    Christen Miller to be picked at number 38

    with the first pick of the second round that they have, pick number 38, I passed on Caden McDonald and gave him Kristen Miller, another defensive tackle out of Georgia

    Christen MillerHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “off the board before the ninth pick”

    If Carnel Tate is there at nine, I believe they will take him. I do not think he will be there at nine.

    Carnell Tate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    I believe Ruben Bain Junior is going to be there. I think Rubyen Bain Junior is going to be the pick... He is the guy will have the Chiefs taking in the final mock draft I do.

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad Ochocinco JohnsonMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked “gone by ten”

    Y'all remember Ojo said Bain would be gonna be gone by ten and that's why he loved the Bengals trade. O Yo, ain't always right.

    Rueben Bain

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 24, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.