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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

826–850 of 4,064

  • Hit · 92David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    They send pick number five to the New Orleans Saints... and take Sunny Styles, linebacker at Ohio State.

    Sonny StylesNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+42.82 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Kamari Ramsey to be picked at number 71

    Number 71 overall in the third round, Kamari Ramsey, safety out of USC

    Kamari RamseyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Starting off with the Las Vegas Raiders, quarterback Fernando Mendoza, the consensus top quarterback

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    T.J. Hall to be picked at number 209

    Six round two zero nine, TJ Hall, cornerback out of Iowa

    T.J. HallWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 40David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 18

    Number 18, the Cleveland Browns come on the clock, and they take wide receiver, Denzel Boston.

    Denzel BostonCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16

    Kansas City Chiefs back on the clock to make their first pick of the draft. Offensive lineman, Caden Proctor

    Kadyn ProctorKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    Number eight, New York Giants via that trade with the New Orleans Saints, they get cornerback man Mansour the lane

    Mansoor DelaneNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 15

    Buffalo Bills... they go get the second best safety in this class, Dylan Thineman, to come up the board

    Dillon ThienemanBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13

    At 13, the Los Angeles Rams go Francis, Maui Goa.

    Francis MauigoaLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20

    At number 20, the Arizona Cardinals go edge rusher with Kendrick Falk, out of Auburn.

    Keldric FaulkArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 31David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    C.J. Allen to be picked at number 26

    the Tampa Bay Buccaneers come up on the clock... taking linebacker CJ Allen... getting him at number 26

    C.J. AllenTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+40.26 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection later on today for the New Orleans Saints.

    Mansoor DelaneNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8

    I'm starting to lean towards the idea of the Saints potentially walking away with either LSU cornerback Mansour Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs in the first round... at this point, I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection

    Caleb DownsNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    Well, I do think that Ruben Bayne Junior out of Miami, the edge rusher is a likely selection... I feel like I should have stuck with my prediction of Ruben Bayne Junior

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “does not go in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    I do not think That Ty simpson goes in the first round... SO i do not think Ty simpson's off the board On thursday night

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “does not go in the top five” (picks 1–5)

    so my bold prediction Is Jeremiah love does not go in the top five

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    I do think The titans can Go Sony styles because everyone's telling me they're gonna Ta jeremiah... so you Go mendoza the two pass Rushers. Styles

    Sonny StylesTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    I think we see one quarterback get drafted and That's Fernando mendez at number one... So fernando goes one

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Jonah Coleman to be picked “finishing up the fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    Finishing up the fourth round... Jonah Coleman running back out of Washington

    Jonah ColemanSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Charles Demmings to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)

    In the fifth round going Charles Demings, cornerback out of Stephen f Austin

    Charles DemmingsSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 27

    my first pick for the forty niners at pick 27... is Kevin Concepcion, KC, the wide receiver from Texas A and M

    K.C. ConcepcionSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Keyron Crawford to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    my guy for the forty niners here in this mock draft, in the third round after that slight trade down is Kieron Crawford edge rusher out of Auburn

    Keyron CrawfordSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Bud Clark to be picked “later third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    here's a very common name croc with the second later third round pick, Bud Clark, safety out of TCU

    Bud ClarkSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Caden Barnett to be picked “round six”

    to finish up this mock draft croc with my favorite sleeper in this draft, round six, going with another guard, Caden Barnett, the guard out of Wyoming

    Caden BarnettSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Trey Zuhn to be picked “round four”

    I'm going with Trae Zune as their offensive lineman in this draft in round four

    Trey ZuhnSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.