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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

851–875 of 4,064

  • Hit · 100Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Jonah Coleman to be picked “finishing up the fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    Finishing up the fourth round... Jonah Coleman running back out of Washington

    Jonah ColemanSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 37Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Jordan van den Berg to be picked at number 236

    At two thirty six, I mentioned Jordan Vandenberg, you double up a defensive tackle

    Jordan van den BergGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    We know Dylan Thieneman is gonna get in.

    Dillon Thieneman

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked at number 115

    So you can now take $1.38, package it with one fifty three, which is that extra Eagles pick and that would get you to one fifteen... So this is a terrific move for Green Bay to get a penetrating three technique.

    Kaleb ProctorGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Behren Morton to be picked “drafted by the Packers”

    and then Baron Morton, the quarterback from Texas Tech... They wanna take a quarterback in this draft. He's the one I pick.

    Behren MortonGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Taylen Green to be picked “day three”

    Don't be surprised if Talen Green is a pick on day three if they end up getting some extra picks

    Taylen GreenGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Kaelon Black to be picked “drafted by the Packers”

    Kalyn Black is not the explosive runner that Michael Washington is, but I think like overall complete running back vision

    Kaelon BlackGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Charles Demings to be picked “earlier than pick 153”

    Now I think he's going to go earlier than this. I think six foot one hundred ninety plus pound corners that run-in the low four fours... are gonna go earlier in the draft.

    Charles Demings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked “top 100” (picks 1–100)

    I don't think Caleb Proctor is gonna last much much past 100 and it wouldn't surprise me if he goes in the top 100.

    Kaleb Proctor

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    there are some, linebackers who could sneak in. You've got well, not sneak in in the case of Sonny Styles

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 32Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Ted Hurst to be picked at number 58

    I'm gonna move down to 58... And I'm gonna take Ted Hurst. I think they're going to take a receiver.

    Ted HurstGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 32Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    We know Emmanuel McNeil Warren, is going to get in.

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    We know Caleb Downs is gonna go on the first round.

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingPeter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Jager Burton to be picked “drafted by the Packers”

    So now you're just gonna go down the list. Some of the guys that we've talked about, Jagger Burton who's gonna be, you know, center guard

    Jager BurtonGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Daylen Everette to be picked at number 84

    At eighty four, I think this could be Julianne Neill. I think this could be Malik Mohammed. I went with Dalen Everett.

    Daylen EveretteGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks

    Julian Neal to be picked at number 104

    I think the Packers then take one twenty. They pair one of those picks and they move up to let's call it one zero four. And they get Julianne Neill.

    Julian NealGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingDarrion GrayMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked “gonna go before the Saints”

    I'm starting to get a a little bit of a feel that... Tyson with what he showed at his private workout is gonna go before the Saints.

    Jordyn Tyson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingDylan SandersMock Draft Picks

    Harold Perkins to be picked “the end of day two”

    He is he seems like he's gonna end up going at the end of day two just because he has such good athletic numbers

    Harold Perkins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Lance MooreMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    I think a safe bet to guess for somebody to be there at eight, this I guess, this will be my guy is Ruben Bay... I feel like Ruben Bane is a safe guess for number eight

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Darrion GrayMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8

    I still feel like Downs is the guy... I got downs one... downs being the most likely

    Caleb DownsNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • PendingLance MooreMock Draft Picks

    Oscar Delp to be picked “in the third”

    I'm gonna go Oscar Delt... prop probably not a second round guy, but but third round, I can see him going in the third.

    Oscar Delp

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Dylan SandersMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    I also had Bayne as the most likely option, but from what it seems.

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 32

    with pick 32, the Seattle Seahawks take the most talented quarterback in this draft ... Jermaine McCoy, the quarterback

    Jermod McCoySeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 84KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8

    The New Orleans Saints have selected wide receiver, Carnell Tate, out of Ohio State.

    Carnell TateNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 88KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    The Cleveland Browns are staying in selecting Spencer Fano, the offensive tackle out of Utah.

    Spencer FanoCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.