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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

876–900 of 4,064

  • Close · 77KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    the New York Giants will stay and pick Caleb Downs, the safety out of Ohio State

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 68KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 19

    Caleb Lomu, the offensive tackle out of Utah, is the selection there for the San Francisco forty niners

    Caleb LomuSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • PendingMatty LaneMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”

    I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11

    Pick number 11, Miami Dolphins Mansour Delaine, the cornerback out of LSU.

    Mansoor DelaneMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 84KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8

    The New Orleans Saints have selected wide receiver, Carnell Tate, out of Ohio State.

    Carnell TateNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24

    Browns at pick 24 take KC Concepcion, the Texas A and M

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 96KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 7

    The Rams move up from 13 to seven to acquire Jordan Tyson, the wide receiver, out of Arizona State

    Jordyn TysonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 96KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    With the fourth pick in this draft, the Tennessee titans take linebacker, future pass rusher, Arvel Reese, out of Ohio State.

    Arvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • PendingMatty LaneMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked “four of the first five players that come off the board”

    I think these first four players are gonna be guaranteed four of the first five players that come off the board.

    Arvell Reese

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23

    Wide receiver, Omar Cooper, goes to the jets at pick 23.

    Omar CooperNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    With the second pick ... the New York Jets, they go ahead and they grab David Bailey, the defensive end out of Texas Tech.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+44.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • PendingKC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 10

    The Giants at 10 go Francis Maui Noah. They go and grab an offensive lineman

    Francisco MauigoaNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    Sonny Styles, the off ball linebacker goes to the Dallas cowboys at pick 12

    Sonny StylesDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+44.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Miss · 10KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked at number 40

    With the fortieth pick ... the Kansas City Chiefs do address the wide receiver position. They take Chris Bell, the pass catcher out of Louisville

    Chris BellKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 88KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    The Cleveland Browns are staying in selecting Spencer Fano, the offensive tackle out of Utah.

    Spencer FanoCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 57KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 22

    TJ Parker, the edge out of Clemson, goes to the chargers.

    T.J. ParkerLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Miss · 31KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31

    At pick 31, the Patriots select Emmanuel McNeil Warren, the safety out of Toledo.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 92KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    Monroe Freeling goes to the Detroit Lions at pick 17 after that, the offensive tackle out of Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 77KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    The Kansas City Chiefs are selecting Ruben Bayne junior, the defensive end out of Miami.

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 50KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 15

    With fifteenth pick, the, Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Kendrick Faulk the edge out of Auburn.

    Keldric FaulkTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    the Baltimore Ravens select Vega Ione, the interior offensive lineman out of Penn State

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Miss · 23KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 96

    with the 96 pick in round three. The Kansas City Chiefs select Donovan, Davidson Igbonos ... out of Ohio State

    Davison IgbinosunKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 28

    At pick 28, the Houston Texans select Malachi Lawrence, the defensive end out of UCF.

    Malachi LawrenceHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • PendingKC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Davison Igbinosun to be picked “earlier than pick 96”

    I do think this could be a little rich, that he gets there. Like, I think I think his I think he's going earlier.

    Davison Igbinosun

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 62KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27

    at pick 27, the Panthers are taking Kenyan Saddiq, the tight end, out of Oregon

    Kenyon SadiqCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.