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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1051–1075 of 4,064

  • Hit · 81Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11

    Dolphins are on the clock at eleven... Mansour Delaine, I think the best corner in the draft out of LSU to Miami.

    Mansoor DelaneMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18

    Vikings replaced the great Harrison Smith with Dylan Thieneman

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12

    Jermaine McCoy at number 12 to Dallas, the corner out of Tennessee.

    Jermod McCoyDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27

    At number 27, one of the more intriguing prospects, Caleb Lamu out of, Utah, the offensive lineman. I know they just resigned Trent Williams today.

    Caleb Lomu

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    Jeremiah Love for the titans, that's where we've pegged him the whole time. I think that's where he goes.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    Carnell Tate to the Browns, they need some weapons no matter who the quarterback is. They get their pick of the first receiver of the draft.

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 28

    The Texans desperately need more depth on their offensive line. Maxi Inaccio, the tackle out of Arizona State goes there.

    Max IheanachorHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Mendoza number one of the Raiders we all know.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19

    The big edge out of Auburn who also could probably play on the inside, Kendrick Faulk to the Panthers.

    Keldric FaulkCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Arbel Ruiz to be picked at number 2

    Arbel Ruiz to the to the Jets. This is what everybody thought... So I think we're going to Argo Reese.

    Arbel RuizNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 55Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 16

    The jets go wide receiver, Omar Cooper, out of Indiana pair alongside Garrett Wilson.

    Omar CooperNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30

    Casey Concepcion, the very intriguing wide receiver out of A and M to Miami.

    K.C. ConcepcionMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 7

    David Bailey slips all the way to seven. Washington though might be with the best pure pass rusher in the draft.

    David BaileyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15

    Kenyan Saddiq, a tight end, the best tight end in this draft out of Oregon to Tampa and Baker.

    Kenyon SadiqTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    Sonny Styles to the Giants, John Harbaugh's first draft pick, maybe the most intriguing do it all linebacker in the draft.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    I've had your Ravens take in Venga Yowane... He's the best interior offensive lineman in the draft.

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    Reuben Bain Junior, the edge rusher out of Miami... I want him to fall to nine to the Chiefs. We'll see about four point o. He doesn't.

    Rueben Bain

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21

    Steelers on the clock at twenty one... They gotta go tackle Monroe Freeling out of Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 29

    The Chiefs address secondary with Avian Terrell... They go Avian Terrell.

    Avieon TerrellKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 32

    And then, Edge rusher, TJ Parker out of Clemson is the final pick of the first round.

    T.J. Parker

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9

    Caleb Downs, number one player in college football... Safety, number nine to the Chiefs.

    Caleb DownsKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23

    The Eagles do not go wide receiver. Instead, they go massive tackle. Caden Proctor out of Alabama

    Kadyn ProctorPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17

    And then Spencer Fano, who some people have been mocked all the way up to number nine... But the Lions all of a sudden, what was their strength offensive line, they now really need to address.

    Spencer FanoDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 31

    Messador was wildly productive for Miami. He also brew is already 25 years old. He falls all the way to 31.

    Akheem Mesidor

    a naive guess scored 50+34.95 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    McKay Lemmon, wide receiver USC. The Rams can take a luxury pick.

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+33.31 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.