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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,099
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,099

graded

1,185 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2151–2175 of 4,099

  • Miss · 32Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 32

    Last pick of the first round here, Seattle Seahawks. I have them going Emmanuel McNeil Warren with Toledo safety.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+33.83 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Hit · 96JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    I would also go Caleb Downs here just because, like, obviously, like, he is, again, one of the best players in this draft class, and he fits what the Bengals want to do

    Caleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50-25 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingPushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 14

    14, Baltimore Ravens ... they get Francis Maui Noah here, the Miami offensive lineman

    Francisco MauigoaBaltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026
  • Close · 55David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Chris Johnson to be picked at number 41

    Second round, forty first overall pick is when we take Chris Johnson... Chris Johnson, cornerback out of San Diego State

    Chris JohnsonWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jager Burton to be picked at number 147

    Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky is sitting there... he's sitting there at one forty seven for us to take, and we absolutely take Jagger Burton

    Jager BurtonWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Vincent Anthony to be picked “seventh round” (picks 217–257)

    We wrap it all up with a potential big edge of the future, you know, developmental seventh round guy, Vincent Anthony Junior, edge rusher out of Duke.

    Vincent AnthonyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Victor Payne to be picked at number 209

    pick two zero nine, we come back, Vijay Payne... VJ Payne, safety out of Kansas State

    Victor PayneWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 8David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Trey Moore to be picked at number 187

    sixth round, pick number one eighty seven linebacker Trey Moore out of Texas comes in

    Trey MooreWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 10

    which means that pick number 10, we take wide receiver Carnell Tate in the first round

    Carnell TateWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 11Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Kaytron Allen to be picked at number 137

    Round four, pick 137. Just barely making the turn here. Penn State running back. I'm gonna go with Caitron Allen this time.

    Kaytron AllenNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 40Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Jager Burton to be picked at number 132

    So round four, pick one thirty two. I went with Kentucky center, Jager Burton.

    Jager BurtonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 42

    UCF Edge rusher, Malachi Lawrence at round two, pick 42

    Malachi LawrenceNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Wright to be picked “day three guys”

    or Armaud Reid Adams, Jeremiah Wright, who could be day three guys

    Jeremiah Wright

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 170

    Let's take a look at, round five. Pick one seventy here. Wrapping up round five, Texas A and M offensive lineman, Armaj Reid Adams.

    Ar'maj Reed-AdamsNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30.36 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8

    we're starting at wide receiver. I went with Ohio State wide up, Karnell Tate ... round one, pick eight in our mock draft

    Carnell TateNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 1Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Tacario Davis to be picked at number 189

    Washington quarterback Takario Davis wraps us up. Round six, pick one eighty nine.

    Tacario DavisNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    DeMonte Capehart to be picked at number 148

    round five pick one forty eight, we're going with Clemson defensive tackle, Demontae Capehart

    DeMonte CapehartNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “round one, round two”

    whether it's the Penn State, Vague Aione, or maybe it's Oregon's, Emmanuel Pregnant, who are guys that are gonna go round one, round two in this year's draft

    Olaivavega Ioane

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Treydan Stukes to be picked “round three”

    was able to go and get that in round three with Trajan Stukes out of Arizona

    Treydan StukesNew Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked “round one, round two”

    maybe it's Oregon's, Emmanuel Emmanuel Pregnant, who are guys that are gonna go round one, round two in this year's draft

    Emmanuel Pregnon

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Mikail Kamara to be picked at number 109

    So I'm gonna go and take Kamara. So that gets you to pick one nineteen.

    Mikail KamaraKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+46.43 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026
  • Miss · 13Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Jalon Kilgore to be picked at number 119

    I'm going to go ahead and go DB at this point and add Kilgore to this Chiefs roster

    Jalon KilgoreKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+46.43 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026
  • Miss · 37Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Anthony Hill to be picked at number 83

    I'm going to go ahead and go with Anthony Hill junior at this point at 83.

    Anthony HillKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+47.14 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026
  • Miss · 24Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Gracen Halton to be picked at number 74

    So I'm just gonna go with my gut on this one and take Grayson Halton at 74.

    Gracen HaltonKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+47.14 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026
  • Miss · 8Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Cade Klubnik to be picked at number 167

    Kade Clubnick is sitting right there at, you know, pick one sixty seven. You could take him... So I'm gonna go and draft Clubnik at this point.

    Cade KlubnikKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+47.14 skillsaid Mar 15, 2026

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.