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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,137
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,137

graded

1,223 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2536 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2451–2475 of 4,137

  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Dennis Sutton to be picked “day two”

    He has the ability to win with long arms, and that's something that I'm really intrigued by as just a day two.

    Dennis Sutton

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Chase Pizzantes to be picked “day two”

    So he's one of my guys on, like, day two. I don't think he gets into day one

    Chase Pizzantes

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Zachariah Branch to be picked “day two pick”

    I think he's firmly now gonna be a day two pick and can be more than just a gadget guy

    Zachariah Branch

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Cole Payton to be picked “day two”

    So would not surprise me after this if he ends up in that day two mix as well.

    Cole Payton

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brady QuinnMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)

    Because Carnel Tate's viewed as a top ten pick.

    Carnell Tate

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingTucker FranklinMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “gone before the No. 9 pick”

    I it feels like if Jeremiah Love is at nine, it's a it's an upset. I would agree with that.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    David Bailey to be picked at number 7

    He's got Bailey going seven.

    David Bailey

    a naive guess scored 50+19.05 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3

    Jeremiah Love going third to the Cardinals.

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 9

    He's got the Cheesesteak and Tate.

    Carnell TateKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    He has Fano going sixth and Malaga going third.

    Spencer Fano

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6

    he has Malagua going six to the Browns, and he is the only tackle that he has in the top 22 picks

    Francis MauigoaCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+23.21 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9

    And after that, he also has a Chiefs sake, Jeremiah Love.

    Jeremiyah LoveKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 31

    Monroe Freeling and Caden Proctor who are tackles out of the SEC ... How do you feel about twenty five and thirty one?

    Kadyn Proctor

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    He has Fano going sixth and Malaga going third.

    Francis Mauigoa

    a naive guess scored 50+10 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 4

    He has Bane going four.

    Rueben Bain

    a naive guess scored 50+23.21 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 24

    there's not another tackle until Blake Miller of Clemson at 23 and then Freeling at 24

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 55Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23

    by the way, Spencer Fano is twenty third in the draft

    Spencer Fano

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 23

    there's not another tackle until Blake Miller of Clemson at 23 and then Freeling at 24

    Blake Miller

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt FerrerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “drafted before No. 9 ("if Jeremiah Love is at nine, it's an upset")”

    I it feels like if Jeremiah Love is at nine, it's a it's an upset.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 2, 2026
  • Close · 77Vinnie IyerMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 25

    there have been people talking about, like, Monroe Freeling and Caden Proctor who are tackles out of the SEC ... How do you feel about twenty five and thirty one?

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “not sniffing falling out of the top ten; goes as high as four with the Giants, farthest fall would be the Saints at eight” (picks 1–10)

    So I think the I think Jeremiah lovkick goes high as four with the Titans, I mean the Giants... I think the farthest key word of quote unquote fall would be the Saints at eight... he's not sniffing falling out of the of the top ten.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)

    Sadik. I mean that's I don't know if he's gonna go top five, but he's going in the top ten.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    The only thing we know for certain is for Mendoza is going number one.

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Carnell Tate to be picked “top twenty” (picks 1–20)

    And Carnel Tate same thing. He's gonna go in the top twenty.

    Carnell Tate

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks2026 season

    Caleb Downs to be picked “lock top ten pick” (picks 1–10)

    Caleb Downs I didn't even think did that much at the combine. Don't blame him, He's a lock top ten pick

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.