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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.28% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
3126–3150 of 3,536
1,897 / 3,536
graded
1,639 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Denver Broncos to win the division
the AFC West is an incredible division, but I think people are sleeping on Sean Payton and bow Nicks and what they could be in that division
Rashod Bateman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver fifty six)
Rashaw Baatemen is wide receiver fifty six... I'm actually reasonably confident that if those guys stay healthy, they are going to outperform those values
Rashod Bateman to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
Rashad Bateman? What is Rashad Bateman? Ever? Like you hope you get a touchdown
Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost (at a discount)
And now he's coming at a discount on top of it... You should be in on him this year
Trey Benson to be 2nd on the depth chart
just ignore the fact that he's still the clear number two behind James Connor, who has an injury history
Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (running back sixty two)
Justice Hill is running back sixty two. I'm actually reasonably confident that if those guys stay healthy, they are going to outperform those values
Romeo Doubs to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
another one that went in the arrange... Is Romeo Dobbs. Like, I'm sorry, Romeo Dobbs, but like eight point five, eight point two of the last two years
Justice Hill to fall short of his draft cost (these last three rounds)
they were drafted in these last three rounds. Justice Hill Overshad Bateman. Where is the upside?... he is going to be part of some time share
Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (going as like a wide receiver five)
it seems like a foregone conclusion that Darnell Mooney is going to have like that sneaky wide receiver three upside here and he's going as like a wide receiver five
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round)
he is the expert Consensus RB six he's going in the second round. But with John new Smith gone, I think there's massive upside for a Chan in the passing game.
Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (ECR Wide Receiver nineteen)
You're already getting a discount in ADP, You're getting a discount and expert consensus ranking. I think he's got an opportunity to finishes a real wide receiver one with Patrick Mahomes this year
Rashee Rice to be 1st on the depth chart
it's like a ten year run of either Travis Kelcey or Tyreek Hill leading the Chiefs and targets. I think that changes this year. I think Rashee Rice gets it done.
Darren Waller to finish top 33 at his position, by fantasy points
We ran our projections at Fantasy Points immediately after the trade and he came out as tight end thirty three.
Rashee Rice to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
I think he's got an opportunity to finishes a real wide receiver one with Patrick Mahomes this year
Isaiah Likely to record 60 receptions
I could see him taking a step forward into being a sixty catch tight end.
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (drafted in like the fifth sixth round)
So I see a potential bell Cow profile getting drafted in like the fifth sixth round... I love Kenneth Walker this year.
Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (ECR wide receiver forty nine)
But I just think Darnell Mooney's too cheap and because of that cost, I have been drafting him a lot.
Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five by expert consensus ranking)
Jordan Addison is way underpriced to me... He's wide receiver thirty five by expert consensus ranking... The thirty fifth in the ranking for a guy who's been the twentieth wide receiver over the last two years.
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (drafted around tight end twenty one)
But I like Likely at his price way more than I like Mark Andrews, and I could see him taking a step forward into being a sixty catch tight end.
Drake Maye to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
so I think Drake May is going to give us a QB one fantasy finish this year
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver ECR fifty three)
If Luthor Burton is the Bears primary slot man and things start to click for Caleb Williams, like Burton could dramatically OutKick his ADP
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB sixteen)
you think there's massive upside at QB sixteen with Drake May... I have him at QB eight, and that is really aggressive.
Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (their current prices)
there is room for London, Pits and Mooney to all return a profit, I think at their current prices... So yes, I love this call.
Darren Waller to finish top 40 at his position, by fantasy points
When I plugged him into the rankings this morning, I think it was a tight end forty.
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (his mid fourth round cost)
So what is it that has to go right for Kenneth Walker to return? A nice profit on his mid fourth round cost.