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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,154
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,154

graded

1,240 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2553 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

3801–3825 of 4,154

  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Quinshon Judkins to be picked at a slot they never named

    Quinshawn Judkins... He would be going to Denver.

    Quinshon JudkinsDenver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jack Coco to be picked at a slot they never named

    Jack Beck out of Kansas State going to Green Bay.

    Jack CocoGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jalon Walker to be picked at a slot they never named

    Jalen Walker... would go to Carolina

    Jalon WalkerCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jihaad Campbell to be picked at a slot they never named

    Jahad Campbell. Let's get him to try and make sure the 40 points that Joe Burrow puts up will hold up.

    Jihaad Campbell

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at a slot they never named

    Calvin Banks junior, protecting Sam Darnold. He becomes a tackle that's kinda been left out of the discussions.

    Kelvin Banks Jr.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Derrick Harmon to be picked at a slot they never named

    Derek Harmon, the defensive tackle out of Oregon... Ken Hayward as long in the tooth. Let's get Derek Harmon in there.

    Derrick Harmon

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Nick Emmanwori to be picked at a slot they never named

    the power forward, safety out of South Carolina. Nick Eamonn Warrie for the Bucks.

    Nick EmmanworiTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Malaki Starks to be picked at a slot they never named

    Malachi Starks, safety... out of Georgia to the Ravens.

    Malaki StarksBaltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Xavier Watts to be picked at a slot they never named

    Xavier Watts, the Bills need to get their back end of the defense a little bit more short on.

    Xavier WattsBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6

    They are going to be able to draft an impact player at number six. Pete, I think maybe Ashton Genty.

    Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 15Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Mike Green to be picked at number 15

    I am having Mike Green go to the Falcons

    Mike GreenAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Close · 52Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 29

    That's where I'm going with Donovan. Is a rockup from Boston College (Commanders)

    Donovan EzeiruakuWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Tyler Booker to be picked at number 28

    I would is kind of locked in on Tyler Booker, uh the the Beefy Guard as my Lions pick

    Tyler BookerDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+26.47 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 84Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Tyleik Williams to be picked at number 24

    Because I like Williams from Ohio State. It's like a sneaky guy here... Let's let's do that. I'm changing (Vikings at 24)

    Tyleik WilliamsMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+26.47 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 84Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 17

    I'm going to go with Derek Harmon here from Oregon (Bengals)

    Derrick HarmonCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 84Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 25

    Josh Connerly here from Oregon offensive tackle... But that is with the Texans

    Josh Conerly Jr.Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Tyler Warren to be picked at number 14

    the Colts are going to take... Tyler Warren

    Tyler WarrenIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 50+26.47 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7

    I'm gonna go Coulson Love one woow, Michigan... So I'm gonna go call some level in here and the Jets

    Colston LovelandNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Grey Zabel to be picked “an eighteen to thirty type player... back half of this first round” (picks 1–32)

    I think he's an eighteen to thirty type player, you know, or just say back half of this first round

    Grey Zabel

    a naive guess scored 50+39.12 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Armand Membou to be picked at number 9

    Well, I'm gonna go with Memboo because that's where I was kind of leaning anyways (Saints at No. 9)

    Armand MembouNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+39.12 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18

    I have the Seahawks at number eighteen... I think this is the spot for Gray's Abel, the North Dakota State offensive lineman

    Grey ZabelSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+26.47 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 27

    I'm gonna go Donovan Jackson Ohio State (Ravens)

    Donovan JacksonBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 84Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 12

    But I think Tech McMillan's a bigger need... So let's go with him to the Cowboys

    Tetairoa McMillanDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+26.47 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 84Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10

    now Ashton Genty is the Chicago Bear... I think Ashton Genty to the Bears would be a great pairing

    Ashton JeantyChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+26.47 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 96Nate TiceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Josh Simmons to be picked at number 31

    I am going to go Josh Simmons over Banks... yeah, Simmons, Josh Simmons, Ohio State (Chiefs)

    Josh SimmonsKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+36.96 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.