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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,154
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,154

graded

1,240 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2553 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

4101–4125 of 4,154

  • Hit · 100Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Peter Skoronski to be picked at number 11

    The Titans are predicted to draft Peter Skoronski (OT, Northwestern) with their 1st-round pick (#11 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Peter SkoronskiTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 96Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Jalen Carter to be picked at number 10

    The Eagles are predicted to draft Jalen Carter (DT, Georgia) with the No. 10 pick

    Jalen CarterPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 92Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Devon Witherspoon to be picked at number 7

    The Raiders are predicted to draft Devon Witherspoon (CB, Illinois) with their 1st round pick (#7 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Devon WitherspoonLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 81Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Lukas Van Ness to be picked at number 8

    The Falcons are predicted to draft Lukas Van Ness (EDGE, Iowa) with their 1st-round pick (#8 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Lukas Van NessAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • PendingBrendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Broderick Jones to be picked “1st round pick”

    also has the Commanders predicted to draft Broderick Jones (OT, Georgia) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.

    Broderick JonesWashington Commanders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 96Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Joey Porter Jr. to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–31)

    has the Steelers predicted to draft Joey Porter Jr. (CB, Penn State) with their first-round pick according to his most recent mock draft.

    Joey Porter Jr.Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • PendingBrendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Dalton Kincaid to be picked “1st round pick”

    has the Chargers predicted to draft Dalton Kincaid (TE, Utah) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.

    Dalton KincaidLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 88Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Jordan Addison to be picked at number 20

    Jordan Addison (WR, Boston College) with the 20th pick according to his most recent mock draft.

    Jordan AddisonSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 92Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    C.J. Stroud to be picked at number 4

    The Colts are predicted to draft C.J. Stroud (QB, Ohio State) with their 1st round pick (#4 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    C.J. StroudIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 6Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Darnell Washington to be picked at number 28

    The Bengals are predicted to draft Darnell Washington (TE, Georgia) with their 1st round pick (#28 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Darnell WashingtonCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 5Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Israel Abanikanda to be picked at number 74

    Mock draft expert Ryan McCrystal predicts the Browns could target a running back like Israel Abanikanda (RB, Pitt) with their top pick at No. 74 overall in the third round.

    Israel AbanikandaCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Close · 44Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Bijan Robinson to be picked at number 27

    The Bills are predicted to draft Bijan Robinson (RB, Texas) with their 1st round pick (#27 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Bijan RobinsonBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 96Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Anthony Richardson to be picked at number 3

    Brendan Donahue, predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida)

    Anthony RichardsonTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 96Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Will Anderson Jr. to be picked at number 2

    The Texans are predicted to draft Will Anderson (EDGE, Alabama) with the No. 2 overall pick ... according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Will Anderson Jr.Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Bryce Young to be picked at number 1

    The Panthers are predicted to draft Bryce Young (QB, Alabama) with their 1st round pick (#1 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Bryce YoungCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 84Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Tyree Wilson to be picked at number 11

    has the Cardinals predicted to draft Tyree Wilson (EDGE, Texas Tech) after trading down to the No. 11 pick according to his most recent mock draft.

    Tyree WilsonArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 3Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Kelee Ringo to be picked at number 23

    The Vikings are predicted to draft Kelee Ringo (CB, Georgia) with their 1st-round pick (#23 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Kelee RingoMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 88Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Jordan Addison to be picked at number 26

    The Cowboys are predicted to draft Jordan Addison (WR, USC) with their 1st round pick (#26 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Jordan AddisonDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 84Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Dalton Kincaid to be picked at number 21

    The Chargers are predicted to draft Dalton Kincaid (TE, Utah) with their 1st round pick (#21 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Dalton KincaidLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Close · 55Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Gervon Dexter Sr. to be picked at number 67

    Mock draft expert Ryan McCrystal predicts the Broncos could target a defensive lineman like Gervon Dexter (DT, Florida) with their top pick at No. 67 overall in the third round.

    Gervon Dexter Sr.Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 100Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    C.J. Stroud to be picked at number 2

    Brendan Donahue, has the Texans predicted to draft C.J. Stroud (QB, Ohio State) with the second pick

    C.J. StroudHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Close · 48Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Michael Mayer to be picked at number 18

    Michael Mayer (TE, Notre Dame) with the No. 18 pick in the first round according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Michael MayerDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Close · 77Ryan McCrystalMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Darnell Wright to be picked at number 16

    The Commanders are predicted to draft Darnell Wright (OL, Tennessee) with their 1st round pick (#16 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.

    Darnell WrightWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40.44 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Hit · 92Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Will Anderson Jr. to be picked at number 5

    has the Seahawks predicted to draft Will Anderson (EDGE, Alabama) with the fifth pick

    Will Anderson Jr.Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →
  • Miss · 11Brendan DonahueMock Draft Picks2023 season

    Hendon Hooker to be picked at number 18

    Hendon Hooker (QB, Tennessee) with the 18th pick according to his most recent mock draft.

    Hendon HookerDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+48.64 skillsaid Apr 18, 2023the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.