Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,154
- Graded
- 2,914
- Average accuracy
- 65.4
- Pundits
- 208
70% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,914 / 4,154
graded
1,240 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261529 of 2553 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman75 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Natalie Kerwin84 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+47.5
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+47.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+47.0
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+46.7
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+46.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+43.5
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+43.2
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.4
- Emory Hunt47 accuracy · 9 graded+40.1
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+37.4
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+37.2
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+36.7
- Pat Fitzmaurice70 accuracy · 42 graded+36.3
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+36.3
- Lance Zierlein58 accuracy · 27 graded+36.2
- Brandon Carney78 accuracy · 18 graded+35.8
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+35.7
- Scott Bogman68 accuracy · 33 graded+35.6
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.7
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+32.3
- Field Yates81 accuracy · 30 graded+32.2
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.3
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+30.9
- Bucky Brooks78 accuracy · 99 graded+30.4
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+30.2
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+30.0
- Ayrton Ostley59 accuracy · 14 graded+28.7
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+28.5
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+26.8
- Daniel Jeremiah72 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta66 accuracy · 69 graded+22.2
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+20.9
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB22 mocksmocked around 16 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenSAF11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
- C.J. AllenLB7 mocksmocked around 18 · went at 53
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.7 · 232 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.0 · 233 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)66.5 · 95 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)83.7 · 34 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)77.0 · 232 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)69.8 · 72 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)55.1 · 13 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)68.9 · 212 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)71.2 · 350 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
4076–4100 of 4,154
Will Anderson Jr. to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)
there were four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. They were: Alabama edge rusher Will Anderson
Drake Maye to be picked “top-two pick” (picks 1–2)
has the arm strength, accuracy, IQ, and dual-threat talent to warrant a top-two pick
Caleb Williams to be picked at number 1
He's expected to hear his name called first overall next spring.
Anthony Richardson to be picked at number 19
The Buccaneers are predicted to draft Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida) with their 1st round pick (#19 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Matthew Bergeron to be picked at number 51
Mock draft expert Ryan McCrystal predicts the Dolphins could target an offensive lineman like Matthew Bergeron (OL, Syracuse) with their top pick at No. 51 overall in the second round.
Nick Saldiveri to be picked at number 99
Mock draft expert Ryan McCrystal believes the 49ers could target an offensive lineman like Nick Saldiveri (OT, Old Dominion) with their top pick at No. 99 overall in the third round.
Brian Branch to be picked at number 24
The Jaguars are predicted to draft Brian Branch (S, Alabama) with their 1st round pick (#24 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Deonte Banks to be picked at number 22
The Ravens are predicted to draft Deonte Banks (CB, Maryland) with their 1st round pick (#22 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
John Michael Schmitz to be picked at number 20
John Michael Schmitz (C, Minnesota) with their No. 20 overall selection in the first round according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Bryan Bresee to be picked at number 17
The Steelers are predicted to draft Bryan Bresee (DL, Clemson) with their 1st-round pick (#17 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Joe Tippmann to be picked at number 25
The Giants are predicted to draft Joe Tippmann (C, Wisconsin) with their 1st round pick (#25 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
O'Cyrus Torrence to be picked at number 30
O’Cyrus Torrence (OG, Florida) with the No. 30 pick according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Trenton Simpson to be picked at number 29
The Sants are predicted to draft Trenton Simpson (LB, Clemson) with their 1st-round pick (#29 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Kelee Ringo to be picked at number 30
Kalee Ringo (DB, Georgia) with the No. 30 pick according to his most recent mock draft.
Devon Witherspoon to be picked at number 6
has the Lions predicted to draft Devon Witherspoon (CB, Illinois) with the sixth pick
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be picked at number 12
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Ohio State) with the 12th pick according to his most recent mock draft.
Bryce Young to be picked at number 1
Brendan Donahue, also has the Panthers predicted to draft Bryce Young (QB, Alabama) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.
Tyree Wilson to be picked at number 5
The Seahawks are predicted to draft Tyree Wilson (EDGE, Texas Tech) with their No. 5 overall pick
Paris Johnson Jr. to be picked at number 3
The Cardinals are predicted to draft Paris Johnson Jr. (OT, Ohio State) with their 1st-round pick (#3 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Myles Murphy to be picked at number 15
The Packers are predicted to draft Myles Murphy (EDGE, Clemson) with their 1st round pick (#15 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Anton Harrison to be picked “1st round pick”
has the Chiefs predicted to draft Anton Harrison (OT, Oklahoma) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.
Paris Johnson Jr. to be picked “1st round pick”
also has the Bears predicted to draft Paris Johnson Jr. with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.
Dawand Jones to be picked at number 31
The Chiefs are predicted to draft Dawand Jones (OT, Ohio State) with their 1st round pick (#31 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
BJ Ojulari to be picked at number 36
Mock draft expert Ryan McCrystal predicts the Rams could target a pass rusher like BJ Ojulari (EDGE, LSU) with their top pick at No. 36 overall in the second round.
Nolan Smith to be picked at number 13
The Jets are predicted to draft Nolan Smith (EDGE, Georgia) with their 1st round pick (#13 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
By sport
NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)
The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.