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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

751–775 of 4,064

  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9

    I think the Chiefs just go to arguably best player in the draft, Caleb Downs... At at number nine.

    Caleb DownsKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 23

    Eagles are gonna be a prime team to trade up, but they'll settle for Monroe Freeling.

    Monroe FreelingPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    With the first pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Las Vegas Raiders select Fernando Mendoza, quarterback, Indiana University.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30

    With the thirtieth overall pick... the Miami Dolphins select Casey Concepcion, wide receiver Texas a and f.

    K.C. ConcepcionMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    I think the Jets with Aaron Glenn go with the more surefire pass rusher, David Bailey, over Arvell Reese at two

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 19

    The Panthers going with McKay Lemmon

    Makai LemonCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    With the fifth overall pick... The New York Giants select Sunny Styles, linebacker, Ohio State.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 55Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 25

    I'm going Denzel Boston, to to the Jets

    Denzel BostonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “top 45” (picks 1–45)

    I don't think Ty Simpson is, in theory, worth a first round pick, but I do think he is going to go in the top 45.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “Very end of the first round” (picks 1–32)

    So I think Ty Simpson, I think someone trades... Very end of the first round, I think he gets his name called tonight.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12

    With the twelfth overall pick... the Dallas cowboys select Dylan Thieneman. Safety, Oregon.

    Dillon ThienemanDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    With the third pick... the Arizona Cardinals select Francis Maui Noa, offensive tackle, University of Miami.

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10

    With the tenth overall pick... the New York Giants select Jordan Tyson, wide receiver, Arizona state.

    Jordyn TysonNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    And then Reuben Bain Junior goes to the New Orleans Saints at number eight

    Rueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    With the second pick... the New York Jets select. Arvell Reese, linebacker, Ohio State.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 31Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31

    Most people don't have the Patriots taking a safety, but most people also have McNeil Warren going higher than this.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    With the ninth pick... the Kansas City Chiefs select Reuben Bain Junior, defensive end University of Miami. ... It's the guy who I believe the Chiefs will be taking tonight

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14

    Ravens replace freakish tight end Isaiah Likeley with freakish tight end Kenyon Sadiq.

    Kenyon SadiqBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 48Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 13

    Omar Cooper with Sean McVay just feels... fun

    Omar CooperLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 29

    With the twenty ninth overall pick... his Kansas City Chiefs select Denzel Boston, wide receiver Washington.

    Denzel BostonKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    With the sixth overall pick... the Cleveland Browns select Carnell Tate wide receiver Ohio State.

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+36.87 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Peter Woods to be picked at number 26

    I think Peter Woods and Caden McDonald would be like the top guys for the Bills. I had them going with the DT out of Clemson.

    Peter WoodsBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32

    So I have Arizona jump with a thirty fourth pick... and take the Seahawks pick at 32... And Tye Simpson goes to the Cardinals

    Ty SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+39.37 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25

    with the twenty fifth pick in Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the Chicago Bears select Akeem Mesidore, edge rusher out of The U

    Akheem MesidorChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+37.52 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.