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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

901–925 of 4,064

  • Close · 77KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    the New York Giants will stay and pick Caleb Downs, the safety out of Ohio State

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 81KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 28

    At pick 28, the Houston Texans select Malachi Lawrence, the defensive end out of UCF.

    Malachi LawrenceHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 62KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27

    at pick 27, the Panthers are taking Kenyan Saddiq, the tight end, out of Oregon

    Kenyon SadiqCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 48KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Jack Kelly to be picked at number 176

    With the 176 pick in the 2026 ... mock draft, the Chiefs select linebacker Jack Kelly out of BYU.

    Jack KellyKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24

    Browns at pick 24 take KC Concepcion, the Texas A and M

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 57KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 22

    TJ Parker, the edge out of Clemson, goes to the chargers.

    T.J. ParkerLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3

    the Cardinals stick and pick, and they take Jeremiah Love, the running back out of Notre Dame

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 77KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    The Kansas City Chiefs are selecting Ruben Bayne junior, the defensive end out of Miami.

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 68KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 19

    Caleb Lomu, the offensive tackle out of Utah, is the selection there for the San Francisco forty niners

    Caleb LomuSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 74KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23

    Wide receiver, Omar Cooper, goes to the jets at pick 23.

    Omar CooperNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 92KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    Monroe Freeling goes to the Detroit Lions at pick 17 after that, the offensive tackle out of Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 50KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Landon Robinson to be picked at number 210

    with a six round pick, two ten. The Chiefs select Landon Robinson, the defensive tackle, out of Navy.

    Landon RobinsonKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Close · 62KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “top half of the first round, top 20” (picks 1–20)

    I think he's going top I think he goes top half of the first round, top 20. I think that's the range for him.

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 84KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16

    The Jets have traded with the Philadelphia Eagles to pick 16 selected. Caden Proctor, the offensive tackle out of Alabama.

    Kadyn ProctorNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 96KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    With the fourth pick in this draft, the Tennessee titans take linebacker, future pass rusher, Arvel Reese, out of Ohio State.

    Arvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Hit · 100KC LaboratoryMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    the Baltimore Ravens select Vega Ione, the interior offensive lineman out of Penn State

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+44.13 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Treydan Stukes to be picked at number 29

    We keep it going here to the Kansas City Chiefs their second first round pick ... Now we come back and get Trading Stokes out of Arizona

    Treydan StukesKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    I'm going to go with David Bailey out of Texas Tech ... Then the Jets take Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey at number two overall.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    So where do the Titans go now? At four? ... Sonny Styles is his dream type of player.

    Sonny StylesTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.75 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24

    What do they do with twenty four? ... Let's get the receiver Casey concepts out of Texas A and m

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9

    I have them going with the top corner in the draft and mansour Delane out of LSU

    Mansoor DelaneKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 10

    I'm going to give him Carnell Tate, a big time receiver to add to that group

    Carnell TateNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 12

    Next up, we have the Dallas Cowboys. Look who just fell in their lap In this scenario, they go get one of the top players and Downs.

    Caleb DownsDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 25

    We get to the Chicago Bears ... Keldric Faulk playing that six technique on the edge.

    Keldric FaulkChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Denzel Boston to be picked at number 27

    Let's go to twenty seven where the Niners are on the clock ... Denzel Boston out of the University of Washington

    Denzel BostonSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+40.69 skillsaid Apr 23, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.