Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,064
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,064

graded

1,150 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1101–1125 of 4,064

  • Hit · 81JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    We go to Detroit at 17 and this one feels like a Brad Holmes pick... It's Caden Proctor, tackle from Alabama.

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    But if they don't go and find a trade up partner, I think a key Mesador would be the pick here.

    Akheem MesidorTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14

    and so Kenyan Sadiq comes off the board here at fourteen.

    Kenyon SadiqBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Peter Woods to be picked at number 28

    Houston Texans, 28. Give me Peter Woods, the Clemson DT.

    Peter WoodsHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+38.57 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked “before the Eagles pick at 23”

    I also if I had to bet, I think Cooper might come off the board before the Eagles

    Omar Cooper

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 20

    Dallas Cowboys at 20... So I'm going Maxie short here, the Arizona State right tackle.

    Max IheanachorDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    if we're gonna start number one overall, this feels like cut and dry. We're putting this in Sharpie. It is Fernando Mendoza, quarterback from Indiana.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22

    if Vega Yolani's on the board for the chargers with their need at guard, yeah, that one is an obvious pick... this one makes too much sense for the charges to pass on in 22.

    Olaivavega IoaneLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 25

    which leads us to '25 with the Chicago Bears... if he does fall here, Dennis Allen's gonna fall over himself drafting him, and that's Auburn Edge, Keldrick Falk.

    Keldric FaulkChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26

    Bills are on the clock here at 26... I have going Ohio State defensive tackle, Caden McDonald

    Cade McDonaldBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 21

    But Mikai Lemmon falling here at 21 feels like a perfect fit for what the Steelers need in their receiver room.

    Makai LemonPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10

    Alright. Number 10, New York Giants newly acquired pick from the Cincinnati Bengals... I'm not saying, but I'm saying this is gonna be Jordan Tyson.

    Jordyn TysonNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 24

    On to '24... I'm gonna go Ty Simpson, though, the Alabama quarterback.

    Ty SimpsonCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9

    I have them going Utah tackle Spencer Fano with the ninth overall pick.

    Spencer FanoKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 19

    I have them going KC Concepcion, wide receiver out of text saying them.

    K.C. ConcepcionCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    Number four, it's Jeremiah Love, the Tennessee Titans.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18

    18, Minnesota Vikings... but it's still in Theaman... So, I have him going there at 18.

    Dillon ThienemanMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    Number five with the Giants, their first pick... but I have Sonny Styles going here. The linebacker out of Ohio State

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23

    23 for the Eagles... I'm going Omar Cooper Junior here.

    Omar CooperPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 27

    27 with San Francisco forty niners. I have them going Malachi Lawrence Edge from UCF.

    Malachi LawrenceSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+45.8 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 55JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 31

    31 for the patriots. This feels like a dream scenario for them. I had them going Blake Miller tackle from Clemson.

    Blake MillerNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+41.91 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 3Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16

    16, New York Jets... You can't wait and get a guy like Jermaine McCoy, the Tennessee quarterback. So that's where I'm going here.

    Jermod McCoyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 30Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 30

    Number 30, Miami Dolphins... Why have them going Emmanuel McNeil Warren, the Toledo safety here

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+36.81 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 20David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Lorenzo Styles to be picked at number 209

    Six round two zero nine, the next pick, Lorenzo Styles Junior. I'm calling him a DB.

    Lorenzo StylesWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 13David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Riley Nowakowski to be picked “seventh round pick” (picks 217–257)

    Riley Nowakowski out of Indiana... So he is the seventh round pick wrapping up this mock draft.

    Riley NowakowskiWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 20, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.