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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,070
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,070

graded

1,156 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1251–1275 of 4,070

  • Hit · 92Jason HirschhornMock Draft Picks

    Domonique Orange to be picked at number 84

    So my lean right now is Dominic Orange... Round three, you guys take big citrus, Dominique Orange out of Iowa State

    Domonique OrangeGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 40Jacob WestendorfMock Draft Picks

    Julian Neal to be picked at number 120

    Alright. You're taking quarterback Julianneil confirmed?

    Julian NealGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Jacob WestendorfMock Draft Picks

    Chris Johnson to be picked at number 52

    And I would say Chris Johnson is your pick, and you don't even think twice about that.

    Chris JohnsonGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 18Jason HirschhornMock Draft Picks

    J.C. Davis to be picked at number 153

    Are both of you in agreement for 01:53 and 01:60, JC? I think we are.

    J.C. DavisGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Jacob WestendorfMock Draft Picks

    Domonique Orange to be picked at number 84

    So I I do think you're right. Dominique Orange is the best way to do this.

    Domonique OrangeGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Jason HirschhornMock Draft Picks

    Chris Johnson to be picked at number 52

    I think we're in agreement here. Chris Johnson's the pick of these options?

    Chris JohnsonGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Jacob WestendorfMock Draft Picks

    Nicholas Singleton to be picked at number 160

    And then I would go Nick Singleton if he's still available at one sixty over Kaylon Black.

    Nicholas SingletonGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 40Jason HirschhornMock Draft Picks

    Julian Neal to be picked at number 120

    it sounds like we're both leaning now toward Neil... Round four, pick number one twenty. You double dipped into the quarterback position. You both agreed on Julian Neal out of Arkansas.

    Julian NealGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Jason HirschhornMock Draft Picks

    Nicholas Singleton to be picked at number 160

    And then round five, you had two selections, one fifty three and one sixty. And you took tackle JC Davis out of Illinois and running back Nick Singleton out of Penn State.

    Nicholas SingletonGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 18Jacob WestendorfMock Draft Picks

    J.C. Davis to be picked at number 153

    So I'd lean offensive lineman at one fifty three. So JC Davis in that case is kind of the one that I prefer there.

    J.C. DavisGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingJason HirschhornMock Draft Picks

    Chris Johnson to be picked “high second, late first kind of round grade / won't be there at 52”

    I actually don't believe that Chris Johnson will ultimately be there at 52

    Chris Johnson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingAyrton OstleyMock Draft Picks

    Max Iheanachor to be picked “the first 50 picks”

    That group of seven tackles, those are the guys who are gonna be basically the the first up in the first 50 picks... we could see Jano Choi make it into round one.

    Max Iheanachor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ayrton OstleyMock Draft Picks

    Gabe Akas to be picked “mid second rounder” (picks 33–64)

    I know in my, one of my latest mock drafts, I had him going in the second round to the Packers with their first draft pick in this class. He seems like a mid second rounder

    Gabe AkasGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Erik EngleMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “top 12 picks, maybe the top 10” (picks 1–12)

    Because I I really feel like he's gonna be gone in in the top 12 picks, maybe the top 10.

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “should be gone (before the Chiefs at No. 9)”

    The wide receiver, Jordan Tyson, that's who Todd McShea has them taking out of Arizona State. Cardinal Tate should be gone.

    Carnell Tate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingTodd McShayMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “Jets move up for him”

    the Jets should move up. They should move up for Carnell Tate. When d when DJ put this one in my head, I'm like, that makes sense. And now we've got Todd McShay saying the same thing.

    Carnell TateNew York Jets

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked “should be gone by then (before the Chiefs at No. 9)”

    Edge rusher, and, you know, Bailey and Reese should be gone by then.

    David Bailey

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Todd McShayMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9

    The wide receiver, Jordan Tyson, that's who Todd McShea has them taking out of Arizona State.

    Jordyn TysonKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9

    Daniel Jeremiah in his mock draft ... said the Chiefs can sit there and have Jeremiah Love dropped to him because no one else has taken him, until the Chiefs go

    Jeremiyah LoveKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “Jets hop up and take him in front of the Chiefs at No. 9”

    and the Jets are gonna hop up and take Cornell Tate in front of them. That's the way he went in his mock draft.

    Carnell TateNew York Jets

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked “should be gone by then (before the Chiefs at No. 9)”

    Edge rusher, and, you know, Bailey and Reese should be gone by then.

    Arvell Reese

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Tyler RowlandMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    locked on Titans when Arbel Reese because he was still on the board at pick number four

    Arvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 10

    Jeremiah Love, the running back out of Notre Dame... he went number 10 to the Cincinnati Bengals.

    Jeremiyah LoveCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50-50 skillsaid Apr 16, 2026
  • Close · 74Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    He ended up going number 13 overall to Los Angeles Rams

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 16, 2026
  • Hit · 92Patricia TrainaMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    At number five, the New York Giants, Patricia Traina locked on Giants with with Sonny Styles, the linebacker out of Ohio State.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 16, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.