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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,071
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,071

graded

1,157 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1351–1375 of 4,071

  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Zavion Thomas to be picked at number 246

    The number two forty six, I'm gonna go with a guy who's projected to be a UDFA. I'm bringing a wide receiver, Xavien Thomas.

    Zavion ThomasWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 14, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 18David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Logan Jones to be picked at number 97

    So at number 97, we pick up Logan Jones, the center out of Iowa.

    Logan JonesWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.07 skillsaid Apr 14, 2026the article →
  • Close · 52David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked at number 209

    at two zero nine in the seventh round, we get Robert Spears Jennings, the safety out of Oklahoma

    Robert Spears-JenningsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.07 skillsaid Apr 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7

    So the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they get Jeremiah Love.

    Jeremiyah LoveTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jacob Rodriguez to be picked at number 46

    We come back in the second round, pick number 46, and get Texas Tech linebacker Jacob Rodriguez.

    Jacob RodriguezWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 14, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jermott McCoy to be picked at number 18

    First round, eighteenth overall pick... Jermott McCoy, cornerback out of Tennessee.

    Jermott McCoyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    Sunny Styles to the giants, which is where I think he's gonna end up going, unfortunately, for me.

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Bryce Lance to be picked “a day two, even early day three potential, prospect”

    Bryce Lance kinda has that best, trait fit, but he is a day two, even early day three potential, prospect here. So he's not being considered number seven.

    Bryce Lance

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Smith to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    the one he was playing against Jeremiah Smith who was, you know, probably gonna be a top five pick next season

    Jeremiah Smith

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 30

    And with pick 30, we ended up going with an edge rusher we haven't talked about yet. Cassius Howell, the explosive Texas a and m edge rusher.

    Cashius HowellLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 19Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Malik Muhammad to be picked at number 86

    Now at pick 86 for the Chargers... We ended up going with cornerback, and then we ended up going with Malik Muhammad, the cornerback from Texas

    Malik MuhammadLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 23Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Travis Burke to be picked at number 151

    But round five, pick one fifty one... I ended up going with the swing tackle... with Travis Burke, the Memphis OT

    Travis BurkeLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 28Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Keylan Rutledge to be picked at number 55

    But round two, pick 55 is a guy that we've talked about before... One of my favorite players in the draft, Georgia Tech guard, Keelan Rutledge

    Keylan RutledgeLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 46Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 87

    we have the Dolphins eighty seventh overall pick in the third round... the guy I ended up landing on was Brennan Thompson. And this is a wide receiver from Mississippi State.

    Brenen ThompsonLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 16Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Keyshaun Elliott to be picked at number 123

    where I ended up going in round four with the chargers' hundred and twenty third pick was Arizona State linebacker key, Keyshawn Elliott

    Keyshaun ElliottLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel WadeMock Draft Picks

    Keylan Rutledge to be picked “second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    it's the guy that was a a third round pick at one point. Now will likely be a second round pick

    Keylan Rutledge

    a naive guess scored 50+32.86 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    Here in round one pick eight... if Jordan Tyson's medicals check out... by selecting Jordan Tyson in the first round.

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 4Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Keionte Scott to be picked at number 42

    round two pick 42. I went with Miami cornerback Keontay Scott.

    Keionte ScottNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 12Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Mike Washington to be picked at number 73

    Round three, pick 73. We're sticking and picking here. We're gonna go with Arkansas running back, Mike Washington Junior.

    Mike WashingtonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Cole Brevard to be picked at number 190

    And we'll wrap up here in round six, pick one ninety with Texas defensive tackle, Cole Brevard.

    Cole BrevardNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Jaishawn Barham to be picked at number 105

    So I'm moving up to round four pick 105 to get Michigan edge rusher, Jayshawn Barnum.

    Jaishawn BarhamNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+38.57 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 46Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 150

    round five, pick one fifty sticking and picking here. Auburn offensive lineman, Jeremiah Wright.

    Jeremiah WrightNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 14Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Kaleb Elarms-Orr to be picked at number 172

    Round five pick one seventy two, I went with TCU linebacker Caleb Elarms Orr

    Kaleb Elarms-OrrNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+45 skillsaid Apr 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Derek Moore to be picked “day three grade, probably later in the fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    So to me, day three grade, probably probably later in the fourth round is where I would value Derek Moore.

    Derek Moore

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 12, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    a first round grade, easy first round grade for me

    Malachi Lawrence

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 12, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.