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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,115
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,115

graded

1,201 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2201–2225 of 4,115

  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    I'm gonna take Fernando Mendoza with the Las Vegas Raiders.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    So I'm gonna give them Caleb Downs at number five.

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6

    And We'll get to Cleveland... I'm gonna take him. Monroe Freeling.

    Monroe FreelingCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 13

    now I'm with the l A Rams... I'm gonna go with Spencer for now from utah... let's go with the Utah standout right there, right tack.

    Spencer FanoLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7

    the Washington Commanders, dan Quinn continue to think about beefing up this defense... So I'm gonna give them R. Bill Reeves.

    Arvell ReeseWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    So I'm gonna throw David Bailey in there with the second pick.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+26.79 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11

    I'm gonna go with kenyasen Deeke, even though it's early for the tiight end position.

    Kenyon SadiqMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 14

    That leaves me next up here with the Baltimore Ravens... Yeah, I think I would take Manster and Delane.

    Mansoor DelaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 8

    I'm gonna take Sonny Styles with New Orleans

    Sonny StylesNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+26.79 skillsaid Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked “still available at No. 9”

    Is there a chance that somebody doesn't think that he's a top eight pick and they leave him there at nine... So I do think he is still in there

    Arvell Reese

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    T.J. Parker to be picked “drafted before No. 40”

    Now he and Messador are two guys that could be there, could be gone four picks before, or could be sitting there at 40. I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point

    T.J. Parker

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “right around this area (No. 29)”

    I do think that Freeling's probably gonna be right around this area.

    Monroe Freeling

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”

    He, Ruben Baine, David Bailey, very likely to be gone.

    Rueben Bain

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “likely gone before No. 9”

    I personally have come around on he being as good as a wide receiver prospect at this point, knowing that Tate is likely gone.

    Carnell Tate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked “drafted before No. 40”

    I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point, so 20 nine's gotta be the spot.

    Akheem Mesidor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked “more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties”

    From from what I've seen, he's more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties. But 20 a little rich for me.

    K.C. Concepcion

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingChris ClarkMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked “gone at, like, seven or eight”

    I keep looking at Mox, and I keep seeing the guy that I wish was going to be there gone at, like, seven or eight, and that's Ruben Bane.

    Rueben Bain

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked “go up top”

    I think Fano's gonna go up top.

    Spencer Fano

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”

    He, Ruben Baine, David Bailey, very likely to be gone.

    David Bailey

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Doug "D-Mac" McKainMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    My dream off season, I have Mekhi Lemmon as my pick at 13

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 12, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Except that Fernando Mendoza is going to be the number one overall pick to Las Vegas Raiders because Clint Kubiak clearly cannot stand Geno Smith

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Mike Washington to be picked “day two pick”

    Mike Washington out of Arkansas, expected to be a day two pick.

    Mike Washington

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Jadarian Price to be picked “day two”

    Jadarian, Price out of Notre Dame. Jeremiah Love's, back backfield mate, a guy that's expected to go in day two, could be a really good pick.

    Jadarian Price

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 11, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    The only guy I felt like I could put above him was Fernando Mendoza, who's gonna be the number one pick to the Raiders.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 10, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks

    Kade Casey to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    Guard cage, Casey from Boise State. This guy, Caleb Tiernan from Northwestern. These are two second round tackles with short arms

    Kade Casey

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 9, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.