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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,115
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,115

graded

1,201 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2276–2300 of 4,115

  • Hit · 88Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    He's going number four to the Tennessee Titans. Linebacker from Ohio State

    Sonny StylesTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+42.12 skillsaid Mar 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    the Jets are on the clock, Andrew Erickson, you're up with the number two overall pick... I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+44.09 skillsaid Mar 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Andrew EricksonMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick, if not the second overall pick” (picks 1–5)

    Sunny Styles kind of cemented himself as a top five pick, if not the second overall pick overall

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50+44.09 skillsaid Mar 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    I expect for Nanda Mendoza to be the pick to kind of get them going, and they're gonna build around the young quarterback.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Andy FurmanMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    maybe they're not going to draft for Fernando Mendoza. It's the number one pick. I gotta believe that they probably will

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 68Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “a top ten pick in this draft” (picks 1–10)

    if you told me that Monroe Freeling was a top ten pick in this draft... I wouldn't be surprised

    Monroe Freeling

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 6, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked “third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    But I I saw more third round pick than first round pick.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 6, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Douglas to be picked “day three”

    Probably, you know, definitely day three guy... And I think he will be a day three guy.

    Caleb Douglas

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 6, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Douglas to be picked “third round, late third round” (picks 65–100)

    if the 49er drafted him third round, late third round or something with a comp pick, because that's where he's, you know, protected to go, I I wouldn't be mad at that at all

    Caleb Douglas

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 6, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 27Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked “around the second round” (picks 33–64)

    Problem is you got a torn ACL crack, so you can't touch him in the first round. He's probably gonna be there around the second round.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 6, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ayrton OstleyMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    If Jackson Dart's gonna be a late first round pick, there's definitely going to be a team that's willing to move up to get tied [Ty].

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ayrton OstleyMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked “top 12” (picks 1–12)

    I'm I'm gonna go on record. Spencer Fano is not making it outside of the top 12. He's he's he's gonna be long gone.

    Spencer Fano

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 5, 2026the article →
  • PendingErik EngleMock Draft Picks

    Will Kacmarek to be picked “somewhere in those mid rounds”

    I don't think he was even the number one tight end for Ohio State this last year, and he still could be a guy who goes somewhere in those mid rounds

    Will Kacmarek

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 5, 2026the article →
  • PendingErik EngleMock Draft Picks

    Travis Burke to be picked “middle of the draft”

    this is a guy who's, he's not gonna be a a a early round pick. He's probably gonna be a a middle of the draft guy

    Travis Burke

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 5, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “first round grade” (picks 1–32)

    And and I have first round grades on Jeremiah Love and Sunny Styles.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 4, 2026
  • Hit · 100Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked “first round grade” (picks 1–32)

    And and I have first round grades on Jeremiah Love and Sunny Styles.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 4, 2026
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked “gonna go too soon (before pick 7)”

    I think David Bailey's gonna go too soon. I don't think there's another edge that's worth taking at seven.

    David Bailey

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 39Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Mike Washington to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    I think we have a couple guys go in the third round. So that's like Mike Washington junior from Arkansas

    Mike Washington

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Close · 42Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    He's my fortieth player. You know, maybe he'll probably move up a couple spots, but he's not going to be inside my top thirty two guys for this draft. I think he's the second round pick.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    So there's Sadik, who's kind of an interesting guy because he a little bit undersized but super dynamic. He'll go in the first round

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jadarian Price to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    His teammate Jadarian Price. I really really like him. I think he's a second round guy... I think that he still goes in the second round somewhere

    Jadarian Price

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)

    I think it's a loaded group that obviously styles is going to go all the way up there in the top ten.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Trevor SikkemaMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked “not a top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    I don't see Caleb Downs as that dynamic difference maker... So I don't see him as a top 10 pick.

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Fano, who you know has his shorter arms but literally worked out at center, can play any of the five spots, is a really good player. He's going to go in the first round.

    Spencer Fano

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →
  • Close · 42Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    he's not going to get inside my top thirty two players. I view him as a second round pick. That's what I think he is.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.