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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.28% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
3201–3225 of 3,536
1,897 / 3,536
graded
1,639 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Jalen Hurts should be up at five. I think at Baker Mayfield should be at ten.
So in at number one, you really can't debate it. Patrick Mahomes... Number two, Lamar Jackson... he's right there at number three... Borrow number four... Well Herbert is at number five?... Number six Matt Stafford... Number seven Dak Prescott... Gino Smith. Number eight... Love number nine Ireen Bay Packers... CJ. Stroud, great young quarterback in at number ten.
Jalen Hurts to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
So Hurts and Daniels on the list. Take away Dak and Gino and put in Hurts and Daniels
Jayden Daniels to finish top 10 at his position, by an unstated measure
So Hurts and Daniels on the list. Take away Dak and Gino and put in Hurts and Daniels, right
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 13 wins
forty nineers are gonna win thirteen games this year. They have the weakest ass schedule you've ever seen, and they're gonna go and they're gonna go twelve and five minimum because they play bottom feeders.
Brock Purdy to finish top 10 at his position, by an unstated measure
And I'm gonna give you one more, I say, see Lada, Matthew Stafford, Hello, Brock Purty.
Justin Herbert to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
Absolutely? Herbert's the top ten guy.
Bucky Irving to outplay his draft cost (more of a third or fourth rounder)
I thought he was a pretty solid option in the latter part of the second round of twenty twenty five drafts. I know a lot of people think he's more of a third or fourth rounder, and the projection seem to agree
Drake Maye to record 700 rushing yards
I think if he makes sixteen starts or seventeen, he is going to go for seven hundred rushing yards. And I feel pretty confident about that.
Drake Maye to finish top 9 at his position, by fantasy points
So the projections have Drake May QB twenty in fantasy scoring. That's the scary part. I have May at QB nine
Rachaad White to be 2nd on the depth chart
Rashad was in a pure backup rowl. I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury
Bucky Irving to be 1st on the depth chart
Bucky Irving's not going to lose his job back to Rashad White... I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
But I do think Chase Brown is still pretty safely going to be the lead back in one of the best offenses in the league.
Chase Brown to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
so I've Chased Brown at RB eleven in my rankings
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen right now in the ADP)
that offensive line did not improve enough, nearly enough, and we find ourselves in that same scenario as we did in twenty twenty four. I think we're looking more like the guy we got in Tyreek in twenty twenty four than the guy we got in twenty twenty three.
Drake Maye to record 4 rushing tds
Yeah, that seems light to me too. I think it's more like four or five easily
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (the wide receiver twenty)
If he goes back into that role and Mahomes is still one of the worst deep all passes in the NFL, he's not going to come close to paying all this projection, not even close
Chase Brown to fall short of his draft cost (twelve RB overall)
if that's where he goes he's gonna be a big bust this coming year because people are expecting RB one production if they are rafting Chase Brown.
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen and ADP)
So this projection and where we are where the consensus is on Tyrek Hill scares the Bejesus out of me because I can't see him paying all on this.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ranking him as an RB one)
So I was in on Kiren last year, but I am out this year... people are drafting him as an RB one, he easily could be an RB two in this offense
Drake Maye to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
I'm actually in line with these projections, Like right now, I've got Drake May as my QB twenty I think
if I went today and you told me best quarterbacks in the AFC... I'd go Alan Mahomes, Burrow, Lamar, that's the big four... I'd go Herbert C. J. Stroud and I put Geno seven... And I would put the eighth best quarterback bo Nickx... And then number nine, I think you get Aaron Trevor Lawrence in Tua
Jalen Hurts to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
And again I think Jalen Hurts is probably ten best in the league. But I do think he's he's a top ten franchise quarterback.
has now ranked the top ten quarterbacks heading in the next season. He has Lamar Jackson one, Josh Allen two... He had Joe Burrow three, Patrick Mahomes four... Chris Simms had Jalen Hurts... at behind Baker Mayfield, Justin Herbert, C. J. Stroud, Matt Stafford, and Jayden Daniels.
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
I mean I will probably pick the Bills to win the AFC, but again, like they have to do it, Jay Mac, they can't beat the Chiefs.