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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.28% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
3226–3250 of 3,536
1,897 / 3,536
graded
1,639 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
I would give Hurts probably the slight edge... But for right now, I think that's there's no problem putting Hurts five.
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
I have been saying since the Super Bowl, you got to put Jalen Hurts at five. I think he's in that upper crust with Burrow, Lamar, Josh and Mahomes.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
I do believe the Chargers win the division. I would not rule out the Broncos.
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys
Jerry's gonna sign him, but he's gonna wait and wait
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
So I think Braylen Allen's kind of interesting and just another guy I mentioned
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
if we're trying to figure out who could be this year's JK. Dobbins, I think Javonte Williams checks off a lot of boxes... consider me in at RB thirty seven
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)
I think Rishard Smith is gonna make noise in this backfield as the new Jerrick McKinnon... He should be inside the top fifty like he is in my ranks
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (outside the top forty running backs)
I like Jordan Mason a lot. If he's going out to the top forty running backs
Bijan Robinson to outplay his draft cost (third or fourth pick)
I think Bjeon is going to win leagues this year, especially if you're getting him like third or fourth pick in your drafts
Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty six)
Justin Hill is going he is going to outperform MARB sixty six if he's healthy. I guarantee you
Brian Robinson to record 1,200 rushing yards
If Brian Robinson is the lead back in this offense, like I could see a real path to like twelve hundred yards and twelve touchdowns this season
Derrick Henry to record 12 rushing tds
if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
I wonder if Javonte Williams is a screaming value at RB thirty seven, even if it feels gross to draft him... I will be ranking him ahead of RB thirty seven. I guarantee it
Derrick Henry to record 1,500 rushing yards
he was amazing last year and if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns, He's getting fifteen hundred rushing yards in a healthy season
Brian Robinson to record 12 rushing tds
I could see a real path to like twelve hundred yards and twelve touchdowns this season
James Cook to record ? rushing tds
So I think we'll probably be around those low like eight to ten touchdowns, assuming that he stole the RB one
Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
going back to Caleb Johnson, he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)
My Lock. In every single fifth round, Richard Smith is my RB fifty
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
I think Tony Pollard is still going to be the quick, clear, workhorse, sixty to sixty five percent snap guy. He's gonna get the red zone touches
Jarquez Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
Jarqust Hunter, I'm going to bring up yet again because he is going to play a role in this backfield
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
the guy that he's not inside the top fifty, the Green Bay Packers didn't do anything to add to their backfield. Marshaun Lloyd
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)
So Aaron Jones, I can't draft at RB twenty two right now. I just I can't do it.
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)
I've got RJ. Harvey is locked in top fifteen back this year
Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)
Somebody explained to me why Caleb Johnson is not in this tier... he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy
TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty four)
outside of r J. Harvey, Trevion is gonna be definitely one of my big targets this year