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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.28% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
3251–3275 of 3,536
1,897 / 3,536
graded
1,639 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
if he looks like the guy from weeks one through eight, Yeah, this is this year's JK. Dobbins... I just bumped him up to RB thirty two
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)
I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR
T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)
I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.
I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
False because he finishes a top three running back.
Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)
So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)
I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two
Drake London to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver
I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]
Drake London to record 15 receiving tds
I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)
So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.
Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)
I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent
Tyreek Hill to move — “not on the Dolphins in Week 1 of 2025”
is Tyrek Hill on the team in League eight team in twenty twenty five? ... So I'm going to say, I'm going to say no.
We have got your top seventy five overall ranks. We're gonna be going through it via the Fantasy pros ECR Expert Consensus Ranks... Jamar Chase is your leader at the tippy top... George Picken.
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.
Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)
maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts