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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.28% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
2051–2075 of 3,536
1,854 / 3,536
graded
1,682 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington
They're gonna move the ball, Dallas is gonna blow out the Commanders. I love the Cowboys minus six and a half
Hunter Henry to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points
I moved him up one spot this morning to tight end thirteen.
Lamar Jackson to finish top 9 at his position, by fantasy points
I'm ranking Lamar Jackson as if he's going to play, so I have him one spot ahead of Trevor Lawrence
Caleb Williams to finish top 14 at his position, by fantasy points
Fitzy, you got him at fourteen fifty... I just think QB ten is too high for a guy who just hasn't been a very good passer over the last month and a half.
Taysom Hill to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
You've got him at fifteen... I feel like the Saints are just going to lean into what they did with him last week
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
I know Lawrence has been great, so I've got him QB ten
Tyler Shough to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
Tyler Shuck QB twelve, You've actually got him at eleven
Dallas Goedert to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
FITZI, you've got him at ten. You just you have him quite a bit lower, but you still do have him as a starter.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
Ericson you got him at six... I don't know if they need all four quarters for him to be a fantasy QB one.
Caleb Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
Ericson you got him at ten... I think that he can be a back end fantasy QB one
Hunter Henry to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points
It's a smash. You've got him at tight end seven
Josh Allen comes in at number one this week... followed by Joe Burrow, Drake may Dak Prescott, Matthew Stafford, and Jalen Hurts... We've got Trevor Lawrence at seven, Jacoby Brissett, Brock Perdy, Caleb Williams, Baker Mayfield, and Tyler shuck, Tyler shuck at your twelve spot
we've got Trey McBride at number one, George Kittle at two... Brock Bauers, Harold fan and Kyle Pitts, Juwan Johnson... The bottom half is Dallas Goddard, Dalton Schultz, Jake Ferguson, Briton Strange, Colston Lovelin, and Hunter Henry.
New York Giants to pick at number 1
And by the way, this one set up the Giants with the number one pick.
Las Vegas Raiders to pick “a top three pick, maybe number one” (picks 1–3)
They're going to have a top three pick, maybe number one.
Lamar Jackson to move
You know the injury history, Colin, I think they got to make a move this offseason.
New York Giants to beat Raiders
Who you got in this one? ... Probably the Giants.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indy
you got Jacksonville minus six and a half at Indy... The Jags are playing for a lot as far as locking up the division... But I'll take the six and a half.
Chicago Bears to beat San Francisco
I think the Bears can win that game outright.
Buffalo Bills to beat Philly
I think Buffalo is a lot better than Philly. They're at home... I'll take Buffalo
Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington
They're gonna move the ball. Dallas is gonna blow out the Commanders. I love the Cowboys minus six and a half
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Miami
you got Tampa Bay at Miami... They should win... assuming Tampa's gonna beat Miami
Los Angeles Rams to beat Atlanta
we got the Rams at Atlanta. Atlanta's eight point dogs. That line's exactly right. I'm sure to win by about a touchdown
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland
All lay the four points with Pittsburgh. I got no problem with that.
Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed
they're the two or the three seed, and they are probably the three seed