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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,137
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,137

graded

1,223 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2536 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2876–2900 of 4,137

  • PendingEric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Malachi Fields to be picked “round two”

    let's go with Malachi Field... You get him here in the second round... In round two to the San Francisco forty niners, that card has been turned in.

    Malachi FieldsSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Drew Bowery to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    Drew Bowery, right there. He he is an office to tackle that we plan to play inside... Jude Bowery, offensive tackle from Boston College. And then Bo Stevens, a guard from Iowa with the first two fourth round picks.

    Drew BowerySan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Demond Claiborne to be picked at number 138

    Final pick of round four here. Pick one thirty eight... I think you have to go for speed at the running back position... I think that's Claymore... Demond Claiborne. Speed.

    Demond ClaiborneSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Bo Stevens to be picked at number 133

    Round four, pick one thirty three. Bo Stevens, a guard... Double up. Both Stevens and Bowery in, with the first two picks of the fourth round.

    Bo StevensSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 1Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sam Roush to be picked at number 171

    And then Sam Rausch, six five, two hundred sixty pound tight end out of Stanford. In the fifth round, pick one seventy one.

    Sam RoushSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 30Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Bud Clark to be picked at number 92

    The forty niners now on the clock. At pick 92... So I'm gonna go bug Clark. We are taking ability traits

    Bud ClarkSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Eric CrockerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 27

    Here we are, Croc, now at pick 27... We're gonna mess the door with the first pick... Akeem Mesador, out of Miami, by the way, the pick in the first round

    Akheem MesidorSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Demond Claiborne to be picked at number 138

    One thirty eight overall, Demond Claiborne out of Wake Forest.

    Demond Claiborne

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 27

    that's the kind of, you know, dynamic athlete you'd be getting in Casey Concepcion with the twenty seventh pick

    K.C. Concepcion

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Domani Jackson to be picked at number 133

    Pick one thirty three, Domani Jackson out of Alabama, athletic corner.

    Domani Jackson

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Aamil Wagner to be picked at number 171

    Emil Wagner out of Notre Dame, a really good athlete, probably a project swing tackle to start his career... with pick number one seventy one.

    Aamil Wagner

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 3Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Joshua Josephs to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    So I went edge in the second round with Joshua Joseph's.

    Joshua JosephsTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Zakee Wheatley to be picked “round three”

    And then in round three, Croc, I went with Zaki Wheatley, who is a Penn State safety, six two.

    Zakee Wheatley

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian PeacockMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sam Hecht to be picked “round four”

    So I went ahead with Sam Heck, who's... a future potential starting center in the NFL, had an awesome senior bowl week out of Kansas State in round four.

    Sam Hecht

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    I expect one guy in particular in Trinidad Chambliss to become a rocket up these boards... Maybe it's Cleveland at six.

    Trinidad Chambliss

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 10, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Caleb Banks to be picked at number 16

    Pick number 16, we're taking Caleb Banks, defensive lineman, out of Florida

    Caleb BanksWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 145

    one forty five Tanner Cozio, tight end out of Houston

    Tanner KoziolWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 33

    number 33. We're taking Brandon Cisse, cornerback, South Carolina.

    Brandon CisseWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kaelon Black to be picked at number 223

    Pick number two twenty three. Kaylon Black running back out of Indiana.

    Kaelon BlackWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+40 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 28

    It's a Magno pregnant in the interior offensive lineman from Oregon, and like I said, I didn't consider anybody else.

    Emmanuel PregnonHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Steve MenschMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 11

    Tennessee defense corner quarterback Jamal McCoy did not play this year... I went Tremont McCoy because I believe that if he's right, it'll be a great pick at that spot.

    Jermod McCoyMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+24.29 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Steve MenschMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20

    they got their corner with their first pick, and now they get the edge with the second pick at Key Messager

    Akheem MesidorDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+16.36 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Steve MenschMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Caleb Banks to be picked at number 26

    that's why I went with Caleb Banks, the defensive tackle from Florida... So I went Kayla Banks for you

    Caleb BanksBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+24.29 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 32Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 15

    So the Bucks are going to go with Cassius Howell from Texas A and M

    Cashius HowellTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+23.33 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 21

    The Steelers Mackay Lemon, the wide receiver from USC... So they're gonna add Makaye Lemon, primarily a slot guy

    Makai LemonPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50+23.33 skillsaid Feb 8, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.