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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,009
Graded
2,914

73% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
207

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,009

graded

1,095 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

426–450 of 4,009

  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    Jelani McDonald to be picked “early-round potential”

    2027 NFL Draft Expectations: Entering the 2026 season, McDonald has early-round potential.

    Jelani McDonald

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 27, 2026the article →
  • PendingWaltMock Draft Picks

    Kayden McDonald to be picked “selected by the Chargers in the 2026 mock draft”

    Early Mock Draft Pick Analysis -from Walt 2026 NFL Mock Draft (as of 1/9/26): Kayden McDonald, DT — The Chargers are going to need to add multiple young defensive line talents.

    Kayden McDonaldLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 27, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan ReidMock Draft Picks

    Chris Cole to be picked at number 24

    Round 1, Pick 24: Chris Cole, LB, Georgia — Reid has Dallas selecting at No. 24, which is where they land Georgia linebacker Chris Cole.

    Chris ColeDallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Trevor Lauck to be picked “first-rounder” (picks 1–32)

    If his play strength improves, he should be a first-rounder.

    Trevor Lauck

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Cam Coleman to be picked “first-rounder” (picks 1–32)

    While he could stand to get more consistent in his route running, his floor is very much a first-rounder.

    Cam Coleman

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Leonard Moore to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    He could take the year off and still go in the top five .

    Leonard Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Trevor Goosby to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)

    if he can show any stretch of play like he did toward the end of 2025, he's a safe bet to go in the top 10 .

    Trevor Goosby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Brauntae Johnson to be picked “first-round safety” (picks 1–32)

    With a long wingspan and easy playmaking ability, he could easily be the next first-round safety .

    Brauntae Johnson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Greg Johnson to be picked “first-rounder” (picks 1–32)

    If the career progression we've already seen in nearly three years as a starter continues, he'll be a first-rounder.

    Greg JohnsonMinnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Arch Manning to be picked at number 1

    While there's no shortage of holes to poke in Arch Manning's 2025 tape, he ends up at No. 1 overall for two big reasons

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    Ellis Robinson to be picked “early-round potential”

    Entering the 2026 season, Robinson has early-round potential for the 2027 NFL Draft.

    Ellis Robinson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    Ashton Lampkin to be picked “early-round prospect”

    Entering the 2026 season, Hampton looks like an early-round prospect for the 2027 NFL Draft.

    Ashton Lampkin

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoel KlattMock Draft Picks

    Leonard Moore to be picked “top three of the NFL draft” (picks 1–3)

    I think he could get selected in the top three of the NFL draft. That's how good he is on the outside.

    Leonard Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Trevor Goosby to be picked “first-rounder” (picks 1–32)

    While he might miss some action early this season with a bone bruise, Goosby should still easily end up a first-rounder .

    Trevor Goosby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    John Mateer to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Entering the 2026 season, Mateer has a wide range. It would not surprise this analyst if he becomes a first-round pick, and I would not be surprised if he ends up being a mid-round pick.

    John Mateer

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    Charlie Becker to be picked “early-round talent”

    Entering the 2026 season, Becker looks like an early-round talent for the 2027 draft.

    Charlie Becker

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonMock Draft Picks

    Julian Sayin to be picked “first-round quarterbacks” (picks 1–32)

    Brendan Sorsby and Julian Sayin round out my current first-round quarterbacks

    Julian Sayin

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonMock Draft Picks

    Brendan Sorsby to be picked “first-round quarterbacks” (picks 1–32)

    Brendan Sorsby and Julian Sayin round out my current first-round quarterbacks

    Brendan Sorsby

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonMock Draft Picks

    Dante Moore to be picked “top-five grades on my overall board” (picks 1–5)

    Based on my summer scouting, Dante Moore and Arch Manning are my top two quarterbacks, and both carry top-five grades on my overall board.

    Dante Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonMock Draft Picks

    Darian Mensah to be picked “early in Round 2”

    followed by Jayden Maiava and Darian Mensah early in Round 2

    Darian MensahMiami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonMock Draft Picks

    Arch Manning to be picked “top-five grades on my overall board” (picks 1–5)

    Based on my summer scouting, Dante Moore and Arch Manning are my top two quarterbacks, and both carry top-five grades on my overall board.

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan WilsonMock Draft Picks

    Jayden Daniels to be picked “early in Round 2”

    followed by Jayden Maiava and Darian Mensah early in Round 2

    Jayden Daniels

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingRobert Griffin IIIMock Draft Picks

    Arch Manning to be picked “a first round pick at quarterback, if not the number one pick in the draft” (picks 1–32)

    I think he's put himself in a position to be a first round pick at quarterback, if not the number one pick in the draft because of how he finished

    Arch Manning

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    Trevor Lauck to be picked “potential early-round pick for the first or second day of the 2027 NFL Draft” (picks 1–64)

    Entering the 2026 season, Lauck looks like a potential early-round pick for the first or second day of the 2027 NFL Draft.

    Trevor Lauck

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingCharlie CampbellMock Draft Picks

    Leonard Moore to be picked “a high first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Entering the 2026 season, Moore looks like an elite prospect and could be a high first-round pick in the 2027 NFL Mock Draft.

    Leonard Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 22, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.