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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,072
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,072

graded

1,158 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1476–1500 of 4,072

  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked “day one, potentially could slide to day two”

    I still think he's gonna go day one, potentially could slide to day two.

    Jordyn Tyson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Bryce Lance to be picked “Midday three picks”

    Our second unicorn fits the athletic profile to a t... Midday, three picks, six three, 204 pounds

    Bryce Lance

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 39David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Malik Benson to be picked “number two twenty three in the seventh round” (picks 217–257)

    which leaves Malik Benson potentially there at two twenty three in the seventh round

    Malik Benson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Malik Benson to be picked “midday three pick”

    Malik Benson is a midday three pick projection out of Oregon.

    Malik Benson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jeff Caldwell to be picked “Early day three”

    Early day three prospects, six foot five, so he's well over that six foot one threshold.

    Jeff CaldwellCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Chris Brazzell to be picked “early day two”

    He's an early day two guy. You know, the commanders don't have an early day two pick.

    Chris BrazzellTennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    De'Zhaun Stribling to be picked “late day three”

    He is also projected to be a late day three guy, although you see some mocks with him going earlier.

    De'Zhaun Stribling

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Zavion Thomas to be picked “from one eighty seven to 209”

    Zavian Thomas from one eighty seven to 209 is likely to come off.

    Zavion Thomas

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingDavid HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jeff Caldwell to be picked “from one forty seven to one eighty seven”

    Jeff Caldwell from one forty seven to one eighty seven is likely to come off.

    Jeff CaldwellCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    You see guys like Carnell Tate, who's a first round pick

    Carnell Tate

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Albert BreerMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    he's throwing to Omar Cooper, who's probably gonna be a first round pick

    Omar Cooper

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 42Albert BreerMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “somewhere in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    my guess would be Ty Simpson for those reasons probably goes somewhere in the second round because I don't think people look at him and say, yeah. That guy projects to be one of the top 10 quarterbacks in football.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingAlbert BreerMock Draft Picks

    Matt Moore to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Dante Moore is obviously the most accomplished of these guys and probably is the closest thing to a lock... Who have a shot to go in the first round

    Matt Moore

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 52Albert BreerMock Draft Picks

    Elijah Sarratt to be picked “somewhere in the top 100” (picks 1–100)

    Elijah Surratt, who's might be somewhere in the top 100

    Elijah Sarratt

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “day one”

    but I think because of how he tested, he's going to be a day one guy

    Dillon Thieneman

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Christian Miller to be picked “day two, late day one range”

    there's a log jam of nose tackles with Lee Hunter, Kaden McDonald, Christian Miller, Dominic Orange, Dale Jackson Junior, all sort of like clumped in that day two, late day one range

    Christian Miller

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Lee Hunter to be picked “day two, late day one range”

    there's a log jam of nose tackles with Lee Hunter, Kaden McDonald, Christian Miller, Dominic Orange, Dale Jackson Junior, all sort of like clumped in that day two, late day one range

    Lee Hunter

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Darrell Jackson to be picked “day two, late day one range”

    there's a log jam of nose tackles with Lee Hunter, Kaden McDonald, Christian Miller, Dominic Orange, Dale Jackson Junior, all sort of like clumped in that day two, late day one range

    Darrell Jackson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Jaishawn Barham to be picked “day two, like, early day three pick”

    Jayshawn Barham could be a guy that we look back on as a day two, like, early day three pick.

    Jaishawn Barham

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Domonique Orange to be picked “day two, late day one range”

    there's a log jam of nose tackles with Lee Hunter, Kaden McDonald, Christian Miller, Dominic Orange, Dale Jackson Junior, all sort of like clumped in that day two, late day one range

    Domonique Orange

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 5JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Jermod McCoy to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    I have all three of them as first rounders

    Jermod McCoy

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “probably top 10, more than likely top five” (picks 1–10)

    You got Jeremiah Love, who's got to go probably top 10, more than likely top five at this point.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.

    Carnell Tate

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Mike RennerMock Draft Picks

    Jadarian Price to be picked “somewhere in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    You got Jadarian Price's teammate who's going to come off the board somewhere in the second round.

    Jadarian Price

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 39JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Mike Washington to be picked “top 100” (picks 1–100)

    I think I might be a little higher on the potential of Arkansas's Mike Washington to get into the top 100 because, like, six one two twenty three running four three, he's probably gonna get drafted higher

    Mike Washington

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.