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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,090
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,090

graded

1,176 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2026–2050 of 4,090

  • Hit · 96Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15

    15, Kenyan Saddiq, the Oregon tight end.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 24Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20

    And Mel Kuiper goes with CJ Allen, linebacker out of Georgia... So CJ Allen at 20

    C.J. AllenDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10

    And at number 10, Mansour Delaine goes to the Cincinnati Bengals.

    Mansoor DelaneCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 2Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12

    And number 12 is Jermoud McCoy, corner, Tennessee

    Jermod McCoy

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 16

    16, the New York Jets, Ty Simpson, the quarterback out of Alabama.

    Ty SimpsonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 57Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6

    At number six, the Cleveland Browns take Monroe Freeling, the offensive tackle out of Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    17, Caden Proctor, gigantic left tackle out of Bama, goes to the Lions.

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    New York Giants, Caleb Downs at number five overall, the Ohio State safety

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 2

    I'm gonna shock you with Fernando Mendoza at number two.

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    Jeremiah Love, I know it breaks our heart. He goes number four.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 9

    Carnell Tate who seems to become... the kind of consensus first receiver off the board out of Ohio State goes to the Saints at number nine.

    Carnell TateNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 18Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 19

    19 is Emmanuel McNeil Warren, the safety out of Toledo

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren

    a naive guess scored 50+31.03 skillsaid Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingMel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 11

    At number 11 is Francis Maui Noah, the right tackle of the dolphins or right tackle of Miami to the dolphins.

    Francisco MauigoaMiami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Justin BooneMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    it seems like they're pretty locked on Jeremiah Love in the first round

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Justin BooneMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    They're going to draft a quarterback, likely Fernando Mendoza number one overall.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 24Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Gracen Halton to be picked at number 74

    Halton would be around the 74 ranges, my guess. Could fall to one zero nine, but not certain of that.

    Gracen Halton

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Skyler Gill-Howard to be picked “squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three”

    now it looks like he is squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three, and I think that's a great value pickup

    Skyler Gill-Howard

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Rayshaun Benny to be picked “end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three”

    One guy that stands out to me that is likely to be an end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three, is Rayshawn Benny from Michigan.

    Rayshaun Benny

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ryan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Zane Durant to be picked “a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot” (picks 101–216)

    He also will be, I think, a a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot

    Zane Durant

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingRyan TracyMock Draft Picks

    Kaleb Proctor to be picked “a day three guy”

    I do think he's gonna be a day three guy that they should have their eyes on as well.

    Kaleb Proctor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Alex ClancyMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    Tyson's gonna go in the first round. A 100%. ... Some team is gonna take Ty Simpson, in the first two rounds

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Alex ClancyMock Draft Picks

    Carson Beck to be picked “no later than the third round” (picks 65–100)

    I would I would be shocked if Carson Beck made it past the third round.

    Carson Beck

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Dwaine BoardMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 27

    I would say the the 40 nine's are probably gonna take him if he's there.

    Monroe FreelingSan Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingErik EngleMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked “before No. 27 overall”

    I think the biggest question mark about Monroe Freeling is is is he going to be available when the 40 pick at 27? And I I personally think that that answer is no.

    Monroe Freeling

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Joel KlattMock Draft Picks

    Blake Miller to be picked at number 17

    Who did the oh, Joel Clatt with Fox Sports said Blake Miller, offensive tackle out of Clemson.

    Blake MillerDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 20, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.