Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,090
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,090

graded

1,176 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2051–2075 of 4,090

  • Hit · 81Mel KiperMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17

    who Mel Kuiper mock to the lions in his latest draft at pick number 17, Kaiden Proctor

    Kadyn ProctorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 20, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Colton PouncyMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17

    Colton Pouncey, mocked, Caleb Lomu from Utah to the Detroit Lions ... a guy that is deemed, viable at the seventeenth pick

    Caleb LomuDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 20, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    One more from Daniel Jeremiah on NFL dot com. Monroe Freeling, the tackle out of Georgia.

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 20, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 16Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Micah Morris to be picked at number 250

    And then around seven, number two fifty overall, Micah Morris guard out of Georgia

    Micah MorrisLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+30 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Miss · 0Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Mason Reiger to be picked at number 232

    and round seven, number two thirty two, you had Mason Reager edge out of Wisconsin

    Mason ReigerLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Miss · 28Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Josiah Trotter to be picked at number 75

    it has them taking Josiah Trotter, linebacker at a Missouri with the seventy fifth overall pick

    Josiah TrotterLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Hit · 81Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 13

    Round one, number 13, overall via the Falcons... It has them selecting Jordan Tyson wide receiver, Arizona state.

    Jordyn TysonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Miss · 0Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Charles Demings to be picked at number 162

    Round five, number one sixty two, they have Charles Demings quarterback, Steven f Austin. And this is kind of cornerback later.

    Charles DemingsLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Miss · 10Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Eli Raridon to be picked at number 149

    Then round five, number one forty nine via the dolphins, Eli, or read on a tight end at a Notre Dame.

    Eli RaridonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Miss · 7Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Malik Benson to be picked at number 255

    Also round seven, number two fifty five. They have Malik Benson, wide receiver, Oregon.

    Malik BensonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • Miss · 0Locked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 100

    And then the number 100 overall pick round three via the Jaguars. They've got the Rams taking Garrett and us Meyer quarterback out of LSU.

    Garrett NussmeierLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Mar 20, 2026
  • PendingLocked On Rams (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Victor Payne to be picked “round six”

    Then round six, they got VJ pain safety out of Kansas state

    Victor PayneLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 20, 2026
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Tetairoa McMillan to be picked “day two mix”

    but also said that branch, that right branch had a phenomenal workout, so he'll be He'll be in that day too. Mix

    Tetairoa McMillan

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    Do you feel better to taking Carneal tape at six? ... Yeah, and I ended up putting Cornel tape in my last one.

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    a look at LSU cornerback Mansour Delaine and why he could still be a stellar selection for the Saints as early as number eight overall ... The first round pick, let's say Mansour Delaine, the LSU cornerback.

    Mansoor Delane

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 6Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 132

    Then round four, pick one thirty two, you go with Kean Crawford right there.

    Keyron Crawford

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked “a bottom of the first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    And so a guy like Chris Bell, if he's healthy enough to go, could be a bottom of the first round pick.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 11Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked at number 42

    Then we go with Chris Bell in the second round in with that wide receiver ... If he's still on the board at 42 run the card up.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked “first round selection” (picks 1–32)

    We'll discuss why both could be first round picks ... I think you'd have to go at eight for him

    Makai Lemon

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Keyron Crawford to be picked “late in day two or potentially early day three”

    a sleeper edge rusher to watch late in day two or potentially early day three is Auburn edge rusher, Kieran Crawford

    Keyron Crawford

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    This is obviously operating on your assumption that the Raiders draft Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick. That feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 18, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “it doesn't look like Jeremiah Love is gonna be there at nine”

    I'm not even certain Jarah at this point, it doesn't look like Jeremiah Love is gonna be there at nine.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike FlorioMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten pick in the real life draft” (picks 1–10)

    He's going to top ten pick in the real life draft. I comp him to a faster Le'Veon Bell.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100LaQuan JonesMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    So I think Love goes to the Giants top five pick.

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked “he will not get very far out of the top five” (picks 1–5)

    I have a strong feeling that he will not get very far out of the top five.

    Francis Mauigoa

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.