Mock Draft Picks
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 4,137
- Graded
- 2,914
- Average accuracy
- 65.4
- Pundits
- 208
70% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2,914 / 4,137
graded
1,223 still pending
By season
- 20211 of 4 graded
- 202365 of 82 graded
- 202498 of 113 graded
- 20251221 of 1402 graded
- 20261529 of 2536 graded
Who is good at mock draft picks
- Chris Brockman75 accuracy · 36 graded+50.0
- Ryan Tracy48 accuracy · 21 graded+50.0
- John Middlekauff76 accuracy · 19 graded+50.0
- Chris Clark68 accuracy · 16 graded+50.0
- Tom Pelissero90 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Joel Klatt92 accuracy · 13 graded+50.0
- Dylan Sanders68 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Jeff Cavanaugh82 accuracy · 10 graded+50.0
- Kyle Brandt69 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Dane Brugler87 accuracy · 8 graded+50.0
- Brian Bosarge18 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Jason McIntyre64 accuracy · 6 graded+50.0
- Darrion Gray64 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Cody Kessler65 accuracy · 5 graded+50.0
- Justin Pugh93 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Bernie Frattle65 accuracy · 4 graded+50.0
- Bradley Locker60 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz50 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Natalie Kerwin84 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- Lance Moore86 accuracy · 3 graded+50.0
- John Butchko85 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Logan Ryan50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Cynthia Frelund48 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0
- Brendan Donahue77 accuracy · 16 graded+48.6
- Brady Quinn80 accuracy · 15 graded+47.6
- Chad Reuter58 accuracy · 4 graded+47.5
- Jason Hirschhorn53 accuracy · 5 graded+47.0
- Jacob Westendorf53 accuracy · 5 graded+47.0
- Rich Eisen84 accuracy · 58 graded+46.7
- Jordan Reid87 accuracy · 14 graded+46.5
- Charles Davis84 accuracy · 13 graded+46.4
- Andy Furman97 accuracy · 7 graded+45.0
- Andrew Erickson71 accuracy · 12 graded+43.5
- Chad Rader72 accuracy · 10 graded+43.3
- David Harrison64 accuracy · 120 graded+43.2
- Ryan McCrystal61 accuracy · 36 graded+40.4
- Matt Miller81 accuracy · 44 graded+40.4
- Emory Hunt47 accuracy · 9 graded+40.1
- Kimmi Chex69 accuracy · 4 graded+40.0
- Danny Parkins95 accuracy · 25 graded+39.7
- Mike Renner74 accuracy · 98 graded+39.5
- Ross Jackson63 accuracy · 142 graded+38.4
- Peter Schrager74 accuracy · 18 graded+37.5
- Keith Sanchez68 accuracy · 43 graded+37.4
- Nate Tice72 accuracy · 20 graded+37.2
- Jaime Eisner44 accuracy · 119 graded+36.7
- Pat Fitzmaurice70 accuracy · 42 graded+36.3
- Vinnie Iyer73 accuracy · 8 graded+36.3
- Lance Zierlein58 accuracy · 27 graded+36.2
- Brandon Carney78 accuracy · 18 graded+35.8
- Colin Cowherd67 accuracy · 60 graded+35.7
- Scott Bogman68 accuracy · 33 graded+35.6
- Nick Wright82 accuracy · 95 graded+34.8
- Brian Peacock68 accuracy · 36 graded+34.7
- Trevor Sikkema75 accuracy · 17 graded+33.3
- Daniel Wade60 accuracy · 13 graded+32.9
- Nick Shook91 accuracy · 37 graded+32.3
- Pat Gustavson82 accuracy · 16 graded+32.3
- Field Yates81 accuracy · 30 graded+32.2
- Todd McShay90 accuracy · 24 graded+31.3
- Gregg Rosenthal79 accuracy · 108 graded+30.9
- Bucky Brooks78 accuracy · 99 graded+30.4
- Mel Kiper81 accuracy · 65 graded+30.2
- Eric Crocker64 accuracy · 16 graded+30.0
- Ayrton Ostley59 accuracy · 14 graded+28.7
- Kyle Crabbs68 accuracy · 322 graded+28.5
- Derek Brown78 accuracy · 21 graded+26.8
- Daniel Jeremiah72 accuracy · 226 graded+26.7
- Jourdan Rodrigue70 accuracy · 31 graded+24.5
- JP Acosta66 accuracy · 69 graded+22.2
- Steve Mensch74 accuracy · 14 graded+20.9
- Eric Edholm47 accuracy · 4 graded+20.0
- Peter Bukowski50 accuracy · 26 graded+12.5
- Jonas Knox17 accuracy · 10 graded-5.0
- Mike Mayock51 accuracy · 22 graded-5.2
- Isaiah Stanback66 accuracy · 4 graded-10.0
- Fran Duffy51 accuracy · 8 graded-50.0
limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
Why so many dead-wrong answers?
Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.
Accuracy collapses after round one
- Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
- Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
- Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
- Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
- Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg
A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.
The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.
Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.
An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.
The players who fooled everyone
- Jermod McCoyCB22 mocksmocked around 16 · went at 101
- Shedeur SandersQB18 mocksmocked around 8 · went at 144
- Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenSAF11 mocksmocked around 21 · went at 58
- Will JohnsonCB7 mocksmocked around 10 · went at 47
- C.J. AllenLB7 mocksmocked around 18 · went at 53
These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.
By publisher
- Locked On Bills (podcast)55.8 · 36 graded
- Locked On Chiefs (podcast)67.8 · 53 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)94.9 · 42 graded
- Locked On Lions (podcast)81.1 · 26 graded
- The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)91.8 · 14 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis68.9 · 52 graded
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)60.4 · 126 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)97.3 · 12 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)74.7 · 232 graded
- Locked On Chargers (podcast)70.4 · 26 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)63.5 · 182 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)79.0 · 233 graded
- KC Sports Network (podcast)66.5 · 95 graded
- The Draft Network42.6 · 162 graded
- First Things First (podcast)79.7 · 119 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)83.7 · 34 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)77.0 · 232 graded
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)69.8 · 72 graded
- John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)55.1 · 13 graded
- Locked On Rams (podcast)50.0 · 14 graded
- Pushing the Pile (podcast)68.9 · 212 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)71.2 · 350 graded
- The 33rd Team63.7 · 349 graded
- NFL Live (podcast)92.7 · 22 graded
- Locked On Packers (podcast)52.4 · 39 graded
- DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)71.6 · 72 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)68.6 · 26 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)62.5 · 38 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)77.8 · 13 graded
- Locked On Cardinals (podcast)88.4 · 6 graded
- Walter Football99.6 · 6 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)66.7 · 3 graded
- 4for4100.0 · 1 graded
- Pro Football Focus100.0 · 1 graded
- Fox Sports0.0 · 1 graded
Every mock draft picks take
3101–3125 of 4,137
- Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top half of the first round” (picks 1–32)
Jeremiah Love the Notre Dame running back who's gonna go somewhere, I guess, the top half of the first round
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 Colton Hood to be picked “back half of the first round” (picks 1–32)
I could maybe see a guy like Colton Hood sneaking into the back half of the first round with a good, like, post season circuit.
- Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Caleb Banks to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Kayla Banks from Florida, I would imagine goes first round simply based off of guys crazy gifted for GT.
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 - Miss · 0Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Jeff Caldwell to be picked “top 100 pick” (picks 1–100)
I would bet right now that guy's a top 100 pick. In this class specifically
Jeff CaldwellCincinnati Bengals
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 - Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Arbel Reese, Sonny Styles, the Ohio State duo, they could both could go top 10.
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 - Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Peter Woods to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Peter Woods from Clemson is a surefire first rounder at this point.
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 - Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Caleb Downs to be picked “top half of the first round” (picks 1–32)
Safety class is up next on this one where you have Cale Downs from Ohio State... there is a guy who's going to go top half of the first round
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 - Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Arbel Reese, Sonny Styles, the Ohio State duo, they could both could go top 10.
a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026 - PendingPushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season
Keylan Rutledge to be picked “day two”
Dequil and Rutledge, I I think he's in this class as well. Georgia Tech, I'd expect to go on day two.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 15, 2026 Monroe Freeling to be picked “round one”
I could see Monroe Freeling sneaking in the round one because teams need a tackle
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “picks one and two overall”
both of the top quarterbacks end up flying off the board at picks one and two overall with, Fernando Mendoza going to the Las Vegas Raiders as well as Dante Moore going to the New York Jets
Chris Bell to be picked “off the board before pick 42”
both Elijah Sarat out of Indiana as well as Chris Bell out of Louisville were off the board
David Bailey to be picked “surefire top 10, top 15 selection” (picks 1–10)
tied with surefire top 10, top 15 selection in this year's draft David Bailey out of Texas Tech
Arvell Reese to be picked “off the board within the top seven selections” (picks 1–7)
Also off the board were Ohio State linebacker, a Arbel Reese
Jordyn Tyson to be picked “off the board within the top seven selections” (picks 1–7)
no Jordan Tyson nor Jeremiah Love on the board for the offensive side either
Kaytron Allen to be picked at number 137
The other selection at round in round four, just a few picks later at one thirty seven... We're gonna go with Penn State running back, Caitron Allen
Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 189
we closed out this draft with... sixth round steal at pick one eighty nine with Houston tight end Tanner, Koziel
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 42
Let's jump real quick to pick 42, which is in the second round... So I went with Oregon offensive lineman, Emmanuel Pregnon
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8
the decision right off the bat... is Caleb Downs, the Ohio State safety at an array overall... You draft him number eight overall
Zachariah Branch to be picked at number 73
Georgia wide receiver Zachariah Branch, who I took in round three at pick number 73
Tacario Davis to be picked at number 170
Then in round five, I picked one seventy. Went one seven zero, I went with Washington corner, Takario Davis
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “off the board within the top seven selections” (picks 1–7)
running back out of Notre Dame, Jeremiah Love... off the board early within the top seven selections
Rueben Bain to be picked “off the board within the top seven selections” (picks 1–7)
Miami edge rusher, Reuben Bain junior... off the board early within the top seven selections
Nadame Tucker to be picked at number 148
In round five, pick one forty eight, I went with Western Michigan edge rusher Nadame Tucker
Dante Moore to be picked “picks one and two overall”
Fernando Mendoza going to the Las Vegas Raiders as well as Dante Moore going to the New York Jets
By sport
NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)
The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.