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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,137
Graded
2,914

70% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,137

graded

1,223 still pending

By season

  • 20211 of 4 graded
  • 202365 of 82 graded
  • 202498 of 113 graded
  • 20251221 of 1402 graded
  • 20261529 of 2536 graded

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

3076–3100 of 4,137

  • PendingPushing the PileMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Austin Barber to be picked “day two pick”

    I think Austin Barber from Florida could end up a day two pick.

    Austin Barber

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 21, 2026
  • PendingJP AcostaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Taylen Green to be picked “potentially late day two, early day three”

    we could see him come off the board, potentially late day two, early day three

    Taylen Green

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Davison Igbinosun to be picked “round four”

    Let's finish up round four here... But I'm gonna go with here, Ohio State cornerback, Davison, Igbonosin.

    Davison IgbinosunNew Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 3Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kage Casey to be picked at number 189

    Going to round six picks one, pick one eighty nine. And for this one, I went with Cage Casey, the offensive tackle out of Boise State.

    Kage CaseyNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Max Klare to be picked at number 73

    I went with Ohio State tight end, Max Claire... So I took Max Claire at 73.

    Max KlareNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Close · 65Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jadarian Price to be picked at number 42

    So with the forty second pick in the NFL draft in the second round, I went with Notre Dame running back Jadarian Price.

    Jadarian PriceNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 7Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Pat Coogan to be picked at number 132

    So round four pick one thirty two. I went with Indiana center Pat Guggen.

    Pat CooganNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+27.14 skillsaid Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 148

    So UCF Edge rusher Malachi Lawrence is my selection around five. Pick one forty eight.

    Malachi LawrenceNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    And so in round one, pick eight, I went with one of the Saints' perfect prospects, Jordan Tyson.

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35 skillsaid Jan 21, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round player” (picks 1–32)

    I watched Oregon's tight end last night. He's a first round player. Oregon? Saddiq?

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 18, 2026
  • Hit · 100Jason McIntyreMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Fernando mendoz a slam, dunk number one. Pick

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Arch Manning to be picked at number 1

    i think Arch manning probably is the number one pick next. Year

    Arch Manning

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 52Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 20

    At number 20, TJ Parker, Edge, Clemson.

    T.J. Parker

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Dane BruglerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    Dane Brugler at the athletic... Number 12, Sonny Styles.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Mike RennerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    Mike Renner, CBS Sports... Pick at number 12, Sonny Styles, linebacker Ohio State.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingMax ChadwickMock Draft Picks2025 season

    C.J. Allen to be picked “second pick (Cowboys, No. 20)”

    Second pick would be CJ Allen out of the University of Georgia. He is a linebacker

    C.J. Allen

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Justin MeloMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Sonny Styles to be picked “Cowboys first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Justin Mello at the draft network... Sonny Styles and a blue star special, Jermott McCoy

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Dane BruglerMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Avieon Terrell to be picked “the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20)” (picks 1–64)

    With the second pick in the first round, Dane goes with Avion. AJ Terrell. Avion Terrell, cornerback.

    Avieon Terrell

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jesse HolleyMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round player” (picks 1–32)

    I watched Oregon's tight end last night. He's a first round player.

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Max ChadwickMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12

    Max Chadwick, pro football focus... Pick number 12... Keldrick Falk, Auburn.

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Justin MeloMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Jermott McCoy to be picked “Cowboys first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    Sonny Styles and a blue star special, Jermott McCoy, the injured corner out of Tennessee

    Jermott McCoyTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)

    I even like Vega Yowani from Penn State, kinda in that mix as well, could go top 20.

    Olaivavega Ioane

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks2025 season

    Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    but he's probably going to go in the first round because there is no other quarterback

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season

    Mansoor Delane to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    But I think we see Mansoor, Delaine from LSU go first round.

    Mansoor Delane

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026
  • Close · 50Pushing the Pile (podcast)Mock Draft Picks2025 season

    Avieon Terrell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    I think we see Avian Terrell from Clemson go first round.

    Avieon Terrell

    a naive guess scored 50said Jan 15, 2026

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.