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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,099
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,099

graded

1,185 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2076–2100 of 4,099

  • Miss · 7Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked “a bottom of the first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    And so a guy like Chris Bell, if he's healthy enough to go, could be a bottom of the first round pick.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 11Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Chris Bell to be picked at number 42

    Then we go with Chris Bell in the second round in with that wide receiver ... If he's still on the board at 42 run the card up.

    Chris Bell

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked “first round selection” (picks 1–32)

    We'll discuss why both could be first round picks ... I think you'd have to go at eight for him

    Makai Lemon

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingRoss JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Keyron Crawford to be picked “late in day two or potentially early day three”

    a sleeper edge rusher to watch late in day two or potentially early day three is Auburn edge rusher, Kieran Crawford

    Keyron Crawford

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    This is obviously operating on your assumption that the Raiders draft Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick. That feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 18, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “it doesn't look like Jeremiah Love is gonna be there at nine”

    I'm not even certain Jarah at this point, it doesn't look like Jeremiah Love is gonna be there at nine.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike FlorioMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten pick in the real life draft” (picks 1–10)

    He's going to top ten pick in the real life draft. I comp him to a faster Le'Veon Bell.

    Jeremiyah Love

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100LaQuan JonesMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    So I think Love goes to the Giants top five pick.

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked “he will not get very far out of the top five” (picks 1–5)

    I have a strong feeling that he will not get very far out of the top five.

    Francis Mauigoa

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 8Matt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Mike Washington to be picked “probably a second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    So he's the only other player that I think we could look at right now is saying probably a second round pick for Mike Washington

    Mike Washington

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Jadarian Price to be picked “a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick” (picks 1–40)

    And Jarian Price should be a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick.

    Jadarian Price

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked “anywhere from four to seven”

    So I think Love could go anywhere from four to seven. I don't know that, you know, he gets out of that window right now.

    Jeremiyah Love

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “more round two than round one”

    it feels like a game of musical chairs where the the ideal spots for him might be more round two than round one

    Ty Simpson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingMatt MillerMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked “from four to nine”

    So I think the window for Carnell Tate is is really it's from four to nine.

    Carnell Tate

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 84David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10

    we were left with cornerback Mansour Delaine out of LSU, and that's the route we took... pick number ten

    Mansoor DelaneWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223

    going to the seventh round ... It's pick two twenty three. We go Roman Hemby running back out of Indiana

    Roman HembyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Jager Burton to be picked at number 147

    In the fifth round, the only pick that is the same in both mock dress. Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky ... in the fifth round, pick one forty seven

    Jager BurtonWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 30David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187

    Six round pick number one eighty seven went linebacker in both ... we pivoted to Harold Perkins Junior

    Harold PerkinsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 48David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 41

    In the second round, pick number 41 ... We end up with wide receiver KC Concepcion out of Texas a and m.

    K.C. ConcepcionWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71David HarrisonMock Draft Picks

    Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)

    Robert Spears Jennings, safety out of Oklahoma was the second [sixth round pick]

    Robert Spears-JenningsWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    You have the tackle Francis Maui Noah from you know, going from Miami and going to Arizona.

    Francisco MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 52Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 26

    you had Cashius Howell from A and M going twenty six to the Bills

    Cashius HowellBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9

    Then you have Spencer Fanout going to the Chiefs as the second tackle off the board... So that's why I had Fano going nine to Kansas City.

    Spencer FanoKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 8

    Bailey goes to the Saints

    David BaileyNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 19

    the receiver out of Texas A and m... This time he's nineteen to Carolina.

    K.C. ConcepcionCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.