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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,099
Graded
2,914

71% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,099

graded

1,185 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

2101–2125 of 4,099

  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    And then Jeremiah Love at four to the Titans.

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 77Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Chase Bisontis to be picked at number 28

    The Texans who still need offensive line help... Besides just from A and M goes there at twenty eight.

    Chase BisontisHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27

    your twenty seventh bick Kenyan Sadik the Oregon tight end, falling all the way to twenty seven... I can see it on the forty nine ers

    Kenyon Sadiq

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23

    So Caden Procter was another guy who moved up into your mock draft. He was not picked last time Alabama. The Eagles take him at twenty three.

    Kadyn ProctorPhiladelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    All right, we'll move on Jordan Tyson to the Ravens.

    Jordyn TysonBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Cade McDonald to be picked at number 31

    Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle, is now in your mock going to the Patriots. At thirty one

    Cade McDonaldNew England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7

    You have Reuben Bain Junior going ahead of David Bailey, so Bain goes to the Commanders

    Rueben BainWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    A key messador the edge rusher at fifteen to the bucks

    Akheem Mesidor

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Jadarian Price to be picked at number 32

    and then the Seahawks take Jendarian Price, a second running back in the first round

    Jadarian PriceSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “on the borderline... is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    I have him at fulk is thirty two... literally he's on the borderline for me of you know is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick

    Keldric Faulk

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22

    In this scenario, I had Yowani, the guard from Penn State falling down a little bit. So if you're the Chargers... I like the Yuana pick

    Olaivavega IoaneLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    You have Mendoza first overall

    Fernando Mendoza

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    sunny styles the big linebacker from Ohio State going to the Giants at five

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+41.49 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    Arvel Reese, the edge from Ohio State, call them the linebacker going to the Jets... I love seeing Rvel Reese at two.

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 55Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked at number 16

    Now he's all the way up at sixteen... I love that fit for the Jets.

    Omar CooperNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    you had McKay lemon being the second wide receiver off the board at... thirteen to the rams

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    Carnel Tate is going number six. That's obviously the Ohio state wide receiver going to the Browns.

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    and Caleb downs to the Bengals

    Caleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.47 skillsaid Mar 17, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25

    Chicago Bears 25. I have been going a key mess or the Miami defensive end.

    Akheem MesidorChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 50+35.01 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Close · 62Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17

    Detroit Lions, pick 17 ... Caleb Lomu, the Utah tackle

    Caleb LomuDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+33.83 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Close · 65Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Peter Woods to be picked at number 19

    Carolina Panthers, Clemson defensive tackle, Peter Woods.

    Peter WoodsCarolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 50+35.01 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Close · 44Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 29

    29, Kansas City Chiefs ... I have them going cornerback, Avion Terrell.

    Avieon TerrellKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+33.83 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Hit · 100Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    I have the Bills going Casey Concepcion.

    K.C. ConcepcionBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+33.83 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Miss · 32Pushing the PileMock Draft Picks

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 32

    Last pick of the first round here, Seattle Seahawks. I have them going Emmanuel McNeil Warren with Toledo safety.

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+33.83 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026
  • Hit · 96JP AcostaMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    I would also go Caleb Downs here just because, like, obviously, like, he is, again, one of the best players in this draft class, and he fits what the Bengals want to do

    Caleb DownsCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50-25 skillsaid Mar 16, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.