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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
3276–3300 of 3,546
1,897 / 3,546
graded
1,649 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.
Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)
I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent
Tyreek Hill to move — “not on the Dolphins in Week 1 of 2025”
is Tyrek Hill on the team in League eight team in twenty twenty five? ... So I'm going to say, I'm going to say no.
We have got your top seventy five overall ranks. We're gonna be going through it via the Fantasy pros ECR Expert Consensus Ranks... Jamar Chase is your leader at the tippy top... George Picken.
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.
Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)
maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)
I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)
I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.
Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart
So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)
McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps
Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)
because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)
And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)
with Rashie Rice at an ECR of forty three and Xavier Worthy at fifty four, at least one of those guys has to be a colossal disappointment at their current cost
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.
Elijah Moore to be 4th on the depth chart
he's a number four number, Yeah, he's a number three or four.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
We go to the NFC now, where I do have more changes. Eagles commander's going away.
Houston Texans to win the division
I think the Texans win it going away, and the Titans are a wild card team.
New England Patriots to beat expectations
I'm predicting the Patriots will be the most improved team.
Vikings will be a very good fourth place team.
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 10 wins
but I think Arizona can win ten to eleven games