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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,070
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,070

graded

1,156 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1201–1225 of 4,070

  • Close · 68Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    T.J. Parker to be picked at number 26

    but I do think that TJ. Parker is a value at this spot... I think this would be a nice win fall at twenty six for the Bills.

    T.J. ParkerBuffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    let's get Jeremiah Love... Jeremiah Love, to me, is the best player on the board here. And he falls to five because of the position

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 12

    How about with Caleb Downs, the safety from Ohio State. What a great runout for Dallas staying put at number twelve

    Caleb DownsDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Close · 44Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32

    How about Ty Simpson, the quarterback out of Alabama... to move one spot here I think would be an easy trade for the Jets to do.

    Ty SimpsonNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks

    Cade McDonald to be picked at number 18

    But I'm going to give the Vikings Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle from Ohio State.

    Cade McDonaldMinnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Close · 62Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Banks to be picked at number 29

    go to the defensive line and give the Caleb Banks, the big space clogging nose tackle out of Florida

    Caleb BanksKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe PisapiaMock Draft Picks

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    Let's start with the one oh one, which is an auto pick, So, Emory, I'm just gonna get your take on Fernando Mendoza. We know it's a lock... I think it's the right selection here for the Raiders

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20

    I'm gonna give him a Key Messador, the ed thrusher

    Akheem MesidorDallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 50+35.45 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Emory HuntMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    I'm gonna go Sunny Styles inside linebacker. I feel like this gives coach Robert Sala his version of Fred Warner

    Sonny StylesTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50+29.17 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 34Emory HuntMock Draft Picks

    C.J. Allen to be picked at number 28

    CJ. Allen, I'm a big fan of I like the fact that he had tax downhill... Georgia linebackers are pretty much, you know, rubber stamps

    C.J. AllenHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 50+41.43 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    So I give the Saints Manster Delane to give them a nice outside presence across from kool Aid

    Mansoor DelaneNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    I like Monroe feeling here for the Lions

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Close · 59Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks

    Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 24

    They are going to take Cayden Proctor... So they are going to go with Procter.

    Kadyn ProctorCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Close · 50Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 15

    Keldric Falk the edge from Auburn. Buccaneers do need an edge.

    Keldric FaulkTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Emory HuntMock Draft Picks

    Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 10

    I think I'll take Jami and McCoy here right now... Give me your mama McCoy out of Tennessee.

    Jermod McCoyCincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 50+41.43 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    R VIL Reese is still on the board for the Cardinals. Do they take him or go somewhere else. They are going to take him

    Arvell ReeseArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 50+37.5 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    Now I'm big, Iwanye Ione... Megge Yonkay? Look, they need a guard, they need offensive line help.

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 50+35.71 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks

    David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    But Texas Tech defensive end David Bailey... I'm taking David Bailey here.

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    a naive guess scored 50+35.45 skillsaid Apr 19, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Aaron Anderson to be picked at number 172

    One seventy two, one ninety, no wide receiver so far... Yeah. Let's go Anderson.

    Aaron AndersonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.05 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Close · 71Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 75

    and then 75, we hope Kieran Crawford's still there... go ahead and roll Crawford

    Keyron CrawfordNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.05 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Close · 46Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Jeremiah Wright to be picked at number 150

    Back on the board at 01:50... Jeremiah Wright's still on the board. I think that makes us a good call

    Jeremiah WrightNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.05 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 92Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 8

    So Miami trade up and, picked Francis Margoa.

    Francis MauigoaMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+44.05 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 100Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 11

    Caleb Downs is still on the clock at eleven... I went ahead and picked Caleb Downs as we were talking

    Caleb DownsNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.05 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Miss · 12Locked On Saints (podcast)Mock Draft Picks

    Mike Washington to be picked at number 73

    So I would say let's go with it sounds like Mike Washington is the pick here

    Mike WashingtonNew Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 50+44.05 skillsaid Apr 18, 2026
  • Hit · 100Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks

    Caleb Downs to be picked “within the top 12” (picks 1–12)

    If you want to get Caleb Downs, this is probably the place to get him because at twelve is is where he's gonna go.

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 18, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.