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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
937
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 937

graded

668 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

876–900 of 937

  • PendingNick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Houston Texans to finish with 9–10 wins

    So it feels like a nine or ten win team. Will stay away from it.

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins

    I am with the Jacksonville Jaguars over seven and a half.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • PendingNick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Miami Dolphins to finish with 8–9 wins

    I think the Dolphins will win eight or nine games. That is perfect.

    Miami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    Why couldn't they go nine to eight this year?... I could see the Patriots winning eight or nine games.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    So New England was one of my overs... This is an eight to nine win team. And again the Jets are a bit lost... So I think New England's in play.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 10 wins

    Well this year it's nine and a half... Why couldn't they win twelve games? I mean, they're over under right now is nine and a half. I think they are a lock.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75+10 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins

    So I think the Niners probably more likely to win nine or ten games.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+110 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins

    So I look at the over under on Tennessee and you know it's five and a half. Some have had it at six and a half. I think they clear that bar easily... and so I Titans to me earn over.

    Tennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 45-50 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Miami Dolphins to finish with 5 wins

    It would not shock me to see them struggle to win four or five games. I think they're going to be terrible.

    Miami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Apr 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins

    Genti and Mostert with Gino and Bowers and, you know, Jacoby Myers. It's you're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that... the nonsense of the four wins and three wins, I I think are over.

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-70 skillsaid Mar 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins

    I think they'll win ten or eleven games.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Mar 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 8 wins

    I think they will double their win total, no question.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Mar 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 12 wins

    I think the Chargers probably win twelve.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75+10 skillsaid Mar 14, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Jason McIntyreSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins

    guarantee you the Niners have at least two more wins on the win total than Seattle. It'll be like ten versus eight at least.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+110 skillsaid Mar 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreSeason Win Totals

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 8 wins

    It'll be like ten versus eight at least.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 5-10 skillsaid Mar 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10 wins

    that Seahawks schedule is screaming ten to eleven wins

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 5+30 skillsaid Mar 13, 2025the article →
  • PendingRichard ShermanSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 15–16 wins

    So do I think they're gonna go fifteen and two or sixteen and one next year? I doubt it. I think they're still going to be a good team, and I think it's still going to be a championship contender in the NFC.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins

    But I think because of their own line and running game. I think offensively, they're a double digit win team for the next three to four years.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 5-5 skillsaid Jan 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    Mike Vrabel's gonna lead the Patriots to a winning record next year. Let's go. ... to say you're gonna be nine and eight next year

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 55-55 skillsaid Jan 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 9 wins

    With a favorable schedule coming up, Tampa Bay could easily get to nine or more wins this season.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75+6.65 skillsaid Nov 26, 2024the article →
  • PendingChris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 5–6 wins

    I thought they could win a few games, get maybe to five or six wins.

    Carolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Nov 25, 2024the article →
  • PendingMarcus MosherSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with ? wins

    With a pretty favorable schedule upcoming, Pittsburgh could easily start the season off with four straight wins.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2024the article →
  • Close · 40Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins

    look for Josh Allen to find a way to post double-digit wins again

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 35+10 skillsaid Sep 3, 2024the article →
  • Close · 40Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins

    Expect the Bills to win double-digit games again this season and be a legit contender in the AFC.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 35+10 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →
  • Miss · 0Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 5 wins

    it wouldn't be a surprise if they only win five or so games this year

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 65-130 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.