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Mock Draft Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
4,074
Graded
2,914

72% settled

Average accuracy
65.4

out of 100

Pundits
208

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1442 scored 80+730 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2,914 / 4,074

graded

1,160 still pending

Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

limitedRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

Why so many dead-wrong answers?

Mock drafts are the single biggest source of zero scores on this site — and it is not because analysts are bad at them. It is because a mock draft asks the same person to do two very different jobs, and only one of them is possible.

Accuracy collapses after round one

Average score out of 100, grouped by the round a player was mocked in. The bar is the score; the note is how far the average pick actually missed by.
  • Round 1 · picks 1–321653 picks · off by 10 on average76.4 avg
  • Round 2 · 33–64112 picks · off by 25 on average49.5 avg
  • Round 3 · 65–10093 picks · off by 34 on average38.8 avg
  • Day 3 · 101–175158 picks · off by 41 on average32.7 avg
  • Late Day 3 · 176+93 picks · off by 50 on average26.9 avg

A first-round mock is a genuinely good prediction. Across 1653 first-round picks the average score is 76.4, missing by about 10 places. By late day 3 that has fallen to 26.9, missing by 50.

The order of the late rounds is close to unknowable. Thirty-two teams making a hundred and fifty picks are working from private boards, trades nobody has made yet, and medical information that never becomes public. 38% of every zero-scored pick we hold was mocked after round two.

Which is a hard thing to score fairly, and looking at this chart is what made us change how we do it. Until 2 August 2026 credit ran out at one full round, so a pick 32 places out and one 128 places out both scored zero — and 29% of every pick we held sat on that floor. Credit now halves every sixteen picks instead: the standard for a good pick is untouched, and being wrong by a round is no longer the same answer as being wrong by four. The methodology records the change and the numbers behind it.

An analyst who mocks all seven rounds is still attempting the hardest version of the exercise, and the back half will always score lower than the front. That is why the leaderboard ranks on MissedTakes Score, which comes from how well a mock ordered the draft rather than from its individual picks — a seven-round mock is judged on the shape it got right, not on the length of its tail.

The players who fooled everyone

Where two or more analysts were more than a round out on the same player. One person being wrong is a take; several being wrong the same way is a story.

These are predictions about where a team would pick, not judgements of the player. A slide says as much about thirty-two front offices as it does about anyone’s evaluation.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every mock draft picks take

1526–1550 of 4,074

  • Hit · 100Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    My linebacker five is Jacob Rodriguez out of Texas Tech, second round grade. ... I value him in the second round.

    Jacob Rodriguez

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Arvell Reese to be picked “first round grade” (picks 1–32)

    Arval Reese would be my linebacker too. Out of Ohio State, he has a first round grade.

    Arvell Reese

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    C.J. Allen to be picked “second round grade” (picks 33–64)

    My linebacker four is CJ Allen out of Georgia, second round grade.

    C.J. Allen

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 19Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Kyle Louis to be picked “third round grade” (picks 65–100)

    Number eight is Kyle Lewis out of Pittsburgh. He's a third round grade.

    Kyle LouisPittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Anthony Hill to be picked “late first, early second round grade” (picks 1–64)

    My third linebacker is Anthony Hill out of Texas, late first, early second round grade.

    Anthony Hill

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Deontae Lawson to be picked “fourth to early fifth round range” (picks 101–181)

    I grade him in that that fourth probably that fourth to early fifth round range... Deontay Lawson out of Alabama is linebacker 11. He's a fourth round grade.

    Deontae Lawson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Jake Galdi to be picked “late two, early three”

    Number six is Jake Galdi or Galdi out of Cincinnati. That's a late two, early three.

    Jake GaldiCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Keyshaun Elliott to be picked “late five, early six”

    Keyshawn Elliott is number 13, the linebacker out of Arizona State. He's a late five, early six.

    Keyshaun Elliott

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Bryce Boettcher to be picked “late five, early six”

    Bryce Botcher is number 12 out of Oregon. He's a late five, early six.

    Bryce Boettcher

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Josiah Trotter to be picked “late two, early three”

    Josiah Trotter is number seven out of Missouri, late two, early three.

    Josiah Trotter

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Red Murdock to be picked “late six, early seven”

    And then Red Murdoch is number 14 out of Buffalo, late six, early seven in terms of where I value him.

    Red MurdockBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Natalie KerwinMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17

    With the seventeenth pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft, the Detroit Lions select. Spencer Fano at pick 17 out of Utah.

    Spencer FanoDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 88Natalie KerwinMock Draft Picks

    Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17

    So backup pick, I would take the guard, Oliva Vega, Yoani... So he would be a guard for the for the lions.

    Olaivavega IoaneDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50+50 skillsaid Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 71Bradford BantaMock Draft Picks

    Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17

    Love your fan o pick. Love it. So that's who I had in my mark draft, so to speak.

    Spencer FanoDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 81Jake RiepmaMock Draft Picks

    Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 17

    just to be different, I'm gonna go with Hakeem Mazadore because, he's on the board still... (Lions at pick 17 in the twenty twenty six NFL draft)

    Akheem MesidorDetroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 8, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    With the 13 pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft, the Los Angeles Rams select... Peter Schrager... he made a pick for the Rams in the first round... he's available at thirteen

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • Close · 74Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 11

    The Dolphins took Carnell Tate two picks before the Rams.

    Carnell TateMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 96Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9

    The Chiefs took Jordan Tyson at ninth overall.

    Jordyn TysonKansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 50+25 skillsaid Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • PendingJeremy WhiteMock Draft Picks

    Omar Cooper to be picked “to go before the Bills pick (No. 26)”

    I always like to think about one positional player. When you're picking as as late as twenty six, somebody that you think is past you is gonna go earlier... I think that could be Omar Cooper.

    Omar Cooper

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • PendingJeremy WhiteMock Draft Picks

    Denzel Boston to be picked “to go before the Bills pick (No. 26)”

    I think that could be Denzel Boston to go before the Bills pick.

    Denzel Boston

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 92Joe MarinoMock Draft Picks

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top five selection” (picks 1–5)

    This is as good a linebacker as we've seen in a long time that I will not blink if he winds up being a top five selection as an off ball linebacker.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 16Jerry OstroskiMock Draft Picks

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    there's actually an edge rusher that I really, really like that I think we could pick up in the third round... I think we get them in the third.

    Malachi Lawrence

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 7, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightMock Draft Picks

    Keldric Faulk to be picked “Buccaneers' first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    They take another swing at it with Kendrick Falk out of Auburn.

    Keldric FaulkTampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 50+34.24 skillsaid Apr 6, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “trade back into the first round” (picks 1–32)

    I see him, some teams gonna do the Jackson dart move, trade back into the first round and take him.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 6, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Eric ManginiMock Draft Picks

    Ty Simpson to be picked “in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    I I wouldn't, but I I do think that he has a great chance of going in the first round.

    Ty Simpson

    a naive guess scored 50said Apr 6, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — mock draft picks (2995 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.